Bucs at Giants (-8.5): Giants win and cover
Cardinals at Patriots (-12.5): Patriots win and cover
Vikings at Colts (-2.5): Vikings win and cover
Saints at Panthers (pickem): Saints
Chiefs at Bills (-3): Bills win and cover
Ravens at Eagles (-2.5): Ravens win and cover
Raiders (-1) at Dolphins: Raiders win and cover
Browns at Bengals (-10): Bengals win; Browns cover
Texans (-8) at Jaguars: Texans win and cover
Cowboys (-1.5) at Seahawks: Seahawks win and cover
Redskins at Rams (-1): Redskins win and cover
Jets at Steelers (-6): Steelers win and cover
Titans at Chargers (-4.5): Chargers win; Titans cover
Lions at 49ers (-4.5): Niners win and cover
Broncos at Falcons (-3): Falcons win and cover
Sunday, September 16, 2012
Saturday, September 15, 2012
Week 1 Power Rankings
Power Rankings are kind of stupid. They might be a bigger waste of time than sitting through two hours of a M. Night Shyamalan movie just to see a shitty cliffhanger. The only thing more stupid, however, is how the Power Rankings people act like sheep.
In my crazy mission to watch every game, I'm going to do a Power Rankings list each week based off the actual game tape. If a good team looks like crap, they're going to be rated as if they are crap and vice versa. The rankings will be based off the cumulative effort up until that point in the season. A mild consideration will be in place for teams with significant losses due to injury. Some of the rankings might raise a few eyebrows, but remember, this is based off of the actual games and not a bunch of "what ifs" and "should have beens."
After the first week of games, here's how I see things:
1) San Francisco 49ers
2) Washington Redskins
3) New England Patriots
4) Baltimore Ravens
5) Atlanta Falcons
6) Denver Broncos
7) New York Jets
8) Dallas Cowboys
9) Chicago Bears
10) Houston Texans
11) Green Bay Packers
12) Pittsburgh Steelers
13) Detroit Lions
14) San Diego Chargers
15) Minnesota Vikings
16) New York Giants
17) Arizona Cardinals
18) Tampa Bay Buccaneers
19) New Orleans Saints
20) Seattle Seahawks
21) Jacksonville Jaguars
22) Tennessee Titans
23) Philadelphia Eagles
24) Cincinnati Bengals
25) Kansas City Chiefs
26) Carolina Panthers
27) Miami Dolphins
28) Indianapolis Colts
29) St. Louis Rams
30) Buffalo Bills
31) Oakland Raiders
32) Cleveland Browns
Thursday, September 13, 2012
Stickin' It to Vegas -- Week 2's Thursday Night Games
I took it on the chin in Week 1. I will have the straight ups and spread picks updated on Sunday when I have more time. Here's a look at tonight's game:
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (-6.5)
What to look for:
- The Chicago Bears had their way with a weak Colts defense last Sunday. Jay Cutler connected to Brandon Marshall at will and was able to hit his receivers at all levels of the field. 20 yard completions came naturally. The Matt Forte / Michael Bush combo was a force. The defensive line forced Andrew Luck to repeatedly adjust in the pocket.
I expect Cutler to be able to move the ball easily against the Packers mediocre defense. The Green Bay defensive backfield let Alex Smith have his way with them, as the corners played too far off their men. A great neutralizer is Clay Matthews's pass rushing ability. Facing a weak offensive line, he should have his way with J'Marcus Webb. This could inhibit a few of Cutler's intermediate and deep passing chances.
- Green Bay had an off week, and Aaron Rodgers surprisingly had little success with the deep throws he normally hits. While the Bears have a solid defense, they are not in San Francisco's echelon, and I don't know if it is even close. The Packers running game was absolutely shut down last week, but it had more to do with the 49ers than with Cedric Benson.
Even without Greg Jennings, look for Aaron Rodgers to have his way with this defense. That being said, Jay Cutler will go toe-to-toe with him until the end of the game. I predict Cutler will make a costly late turnover as he tries to sneak a ball in there that he shouldn't. I like a bounce-back effort from the Packers and a victory, but I'm taking the Bears with the points here.
Prediction: Packers 27, Bears 24
32 Teams, 32 Thoughts -- Week 1
Yep, that's right. I'm watching EVERY NFL game this season. It will take up most of my free time as well as my bed time, but as the Beastie Boys once said, "No sleep til Brooklyn." Here's my thoughts on every team in their first game:
49ers vs. Packers
-Wow, what an impressive performance. That is definitely the fastest, most physical, and most athletic defense in the league. They boast top end talent at every level of the defense and did not surrender any big pass plays from Aaron Rodgers – no easy feat.
The Niners have a real meat and potatoes offense. The offensive line is probably the biggest unit in the league, and I’m a big fan of their fullback Miller. Alex Smith had probably the second best game of his career. He’ll never threaten defenses deep due to his limited arm, but he made all the safe throws, did not turn it over, and converted twice in the red zone, one of the lone weaknesses of last year’s team. He’s someone you need to blitz because he has a tendency to flush out of the pocket or take a safe sack. While he has the legs to scramble, he is not very accurate on the move.
-Perhaps the game plan did not call for many shots down the
field in order to slow down the 49ers pass rush, but they had little success
when they did attempt it. A 30+ yard
pass play to James Jones was called off due to an offensive pass interference
that he did not even need to do to get the catch. The Niners were still able to generate a good
amount of pressure, yet Rodgers was still able to elude a few would-be sacks on
about 28 other NFL QBs.
The defensive backs could be a cause for concern again. I felt they played with too much of a cushion, especially on a guy like Crabtree who is not a deep threat and against a QB lacking arm talent. After a misleadingly “down” season in terms of sacks, Clay Matthews showed why he is one of the best in the game. He bull rushed and bent the edge on Joe Staley for a pair of sacks.
The defensive backs could be a cause for concern again. I felt they played with too much of a cushion, especially on a guy like Crabtree who is not a deep threat and against a QB lacking arm talent. After a misleadingly “down” season in terms of sacks, Clay Matthews showed why he is one of the best in the game. He bull rushed and bent the edge on Joe Staley for a pair of sacks.
Panthers vs. Bucs
-Call it a perfect storm for the Panthers on Sunday. The run game was absolutely squashed and it
put the offense in a lot of bad spots.
The backs were continuously met in the backfield, and it put them in a
lot of 3rd and longs. No
wonder why they converted only two of ten third down opportunities. The game was never out of reach, but they
continually shot themselves in the foot.
Cam Newton’s first INT was a momentum killer. Joe Adams just had a nice punt return that
put the team in Bucs territory. The very
next play, Newton tried to laser a ball in around multiple defenders. The ball got broken up, and Ronde Barber was
able to intercept it and return it to Panthers territory. Before the first pick, Newton looked like his
old self. He did not step into his throw
on the second pick, but he looked fabulous in the first half.
The run defense looks improved, but someone besides Charles Johnson will need step up in pass rushing this year because the secondary is not good enough to make up for it. It could be a major cause for concern if opposing offenses focus on double-teaming Johnson.
The run defense looks improved, but someone besides Charles Johnson will need step up in pass rushing this year because the secondary is not good enough to make up for it. It could be a major cause for concern if opposing offenses focus on double-teaming Johnson.
-What a methodical offense. Josh Freeman more than lived up to his reputation as a dink and dunker. Of his 16 completions, a whopping 9 went to running backs and fullbacks. The Greg Schiano offense was run, run, and run. And when they don’t run, they play-action it. The mindset of this offense is to dominate time of possession and eventually break the defense’s will with the run. The strategy clearly worked (37+ minutes of TOP), and I think they can get away with it early in the year because players are still not in top shape and they play in the South Florida heat and humidity. The Panthers clearly looked worn out at the end.
I just question if they have the defensive talent to support this style of play later in the season. That being said, Gerald McCoy showed why he was a former top 5 pick. He is extremely quick against guards in the run and pass. He absolutely dominated Panthers guards Aminu Silatolu and Jeff Hangartner. Rookie linebacker Lavonte David was flying around as well.
I just question if they have the defensive talent to support this style of play later in the season. That being said, Gerald McCoy showed why he was a former top 5 pick. He is extremely quick against guards in the run and pass. He absolutely dominated Panthers guards Aminu Silatolu and Jeff Hangartner. Rookie linebacker Lavonte David was flying around as well.
Patriots vs. Titans
-The offense looks about as smooth as ever. Brandon Lloyd ended up with respectable
numbers, but he and Brady could not connect on a few deep throws. It will come in time. Stevan Ridley looks like a real game-changer
on offense, however. He’s physical,
quick, and has speed to get to the outside.
He had great success on a few toss sweeps and was able to get to the
second level. He is a major upgrade over
BenJarvus Green-Ellis. Nate Solder could
be a liability in pass protection, but he looked very athletic in
run-blocking. Logan Mankins did not have
his best day but gets a free pass from me.
The defense looks better than last year. Rookie Chandler Jones uses his hands extremely well for a young player and certainly looks the part. The key for the defense will be the sustained health of Pat Chung and Ras-I Dowling, two injury prone players in the secondary.
The defense looks better than last year. Rookie Chandler Jones uses his hands extremely well for a young player and certainly looks the part. The key for the defense will be the sustained health of Pat Chung and Ras-I Dowling, two injury prone players in the secondary.
-Jake Locker has an absolute laser. He definitely had one of the 10 strongest
arms I saw. He is also effective at
making plays with his feet. The stat
line shows a good completion percentage, but when he misses, he misses
bad. The offensive line did Chris
Johnson no favors, but he still looks off.
It might be only one game, but he does not scare defenses.
The Titans have kind of a no-name defense, but Kamerion Wimbley was a great offseason addition. He showed a great dip move off the edge and hunted down Brady for a sack.
The Titans have kind of a no-name defense, but Kamerion Wimbley was a great offseason addition. He showed a great dip move off the edge and hunted down Brady for a sack.
Bills vs. Jets
-Sunday was probably a worst case scenario for a team who was the offseason media darling. To the average fan, almost no quarterback gets misevaluated and overly praised than Ryan Fitzpatrick. He has a terribly weak arm, makes poor decisions, and is the product of a quick passing attack. The pick six to Cromartie in trap coverage revealed how he has a tendency to predetermine his throws. CJ Spiller is an upgrade over the more heralded Fred Jackson. Watch out when he gets to the second level – true home run threat.
The secondary got abused, even underrated free safety Jairus Byrd. On the bright side, the run defense will finally not be an issue this year and Mario Williams will have 15 games better than that this year.
The secondary got abused, even underrated free safety Jairus Byrd. On the bright side, the run defense will finally not be an issue this year and Mario Williams will have 15 games better than that this year.
-The offense shocked everyone with how sharp it was. Sanchez made a Favre-esque shovel pass early
in the game that Jeff Cumberland did not expect, thus leading to a
turnover. He remarkably bounced back,
however, utilizing his signature pump fake to perfection. The offensive staff really made it a point to
abuse the rookie corner Stephon Gilmore as well as nickel corner Leodis
McKelvin. The offensive line did an
outstanding job in pass protection, so the key will be to see how he fares
against a stiff pass rush. Stephen Hill
made an immediate impact and game-to-game consistency is something to look for
going forward.
The defensive linemen did not generate a lot of pressure, but the unit as a whole hit Fitzpatrick a number of times. The cornerback trio of Revis, Cromartie, and Wilson showed why they are the best in the business, as each corner had an interception. They took their foot off the pedal as the game go out of hand, but speed backs could be a recurring sore spot this year.
The defensive linemen did not generate a lot of pressure, but the unit as a whole hit Fitzpatrick a number of times. The cornerback trio of Revis, Cromartie, and Wilson showed why they are the best in the business, as each corner had an interception. They took their foot off the pedal as the game go out of hand, but speed backs could be a recurring sore spot this year.
Bengals vs. Ravens
-Speaking of getting a free pass, how about Andy Dalton and
the Cincinnati Bengals, who are now 3-7 in their last 10 games. In those 10 games, Dalton is sporting and
8:10 TD:INT ratio. How much upside does
Dalton have? For a second year guy, he
is pretty old (turns 25 next month). QBs
don’t peak until their late 20s, but it could be a long-term concern. AJ Green is an absolute force, but someone
else will need to step up to take the pressure off of him. Perhaps the unexpected Andrew Hawkins is that
guy, as he showed amazing run after the catch ability.
The secondary was in rough shape on Monday, but it should improve as Leon Hall works his way back to full strength and when rookie corner Dre Kirkpatrick returns. Speaking of returning, Carlos Dunlap will help the pass rush to team up with impressive interior rusher Geno Atkins. The Bengals have a good amount of young talent, but I have had a feeling all along that this will be a slide back year.
The secondary was in rough shape on Monday, but it should improve as Leon Hall works his way back to full strength and when rookie corner Dre Kirkpatrick returns. Speaking of returning, Carlos Dunlap will help the pass rush to team up with impressive interior rusher Geno Atkins. The Bengals have a good amount of young talent, but I have had a feeling all along that this will be a slide back year.
-Consider me one of the biggest Joe Flacco critics around,
but he looked incredible. With his arm
strength, he can make throws that only about two or three other QBs can
make. The touchdown to Anquan Boldin was
a clear illustration of that, as he leaned back against a blitz and tossed it
40 yards in the air and on the money. It
is only one game, but he looks a little more comfortable when facing
pressure. He’ll be tested against Philly
this week. The no-huddle gave Cincinnati
fits. It will be interesting to see how
teams prepare for it this season.
The defense certainly misses Suggs, but they blitzed to perfection on Monday. They surely carry the reputation as one of the hardest hitting teams in the league. It’s almost downright scary seeing how violent the defense can be.
The defense certainly misses Suggs, but they blitzed to perfection on Monday. They surely carry the reputation as one of the hardest hitting teams in the league. It’s almost downright scary seeing how violent the defense can be.
Chargers vs. Raiders
-Heading
into the season, I was very skeptical they would make the playoffs. If Rivers was not hurt like he claimed last
year, it made me worry…his deep throws lacked oomph and led to too many
interceptions. I also thought the
defense lacked any real impact players. One
game does not change my mind, especially against Oakland (who I believe is a
5-6 win team), but there is reason for hope.
Despite missing their best offensive weapon, Ryan Mathews, they were
still able to move the ball despite averaging 1.6 yards a rush. Norv Turner used the screen game to
perfection, attempted to use misdirection in the run game to keep the Raiders
honest, and Rivers made the necessary throws to win the game.
The defense was better than expected, especially in terms of rush defense and pass rush. Shaun Phillips looks primed for a bounce back year and Melvin Ingram has an incredible short burst.
The defense was better than expected, especially in terms of rush defense and pass rush. Shaun Phillips looks primed for a bounce back year and Melvin Ingram has an incredible short burst.
-Oakland Raiders: The kings of
stubbing their toes. I don’t know what
it is, but year in and year out they kill themselves with penalties and
ineptitude. Then when the long snapper
gets hurt, it makes you think they’re cursed.
In their defense, it might not be fair to Palmer that he was missing his
number one target in Denarius Moore as well as Jacoby Ford. It forced him into being a checkdown
artist. Either way, all the offseason
talk about how his zip is back seems like malarkey. That ball floats in the intermediate
zones. Look for a lot of interceptions
this year.
The defense actually looked better than I expected. I knew they had an impressive front four, but they did not get gashed too bad in the air and forced a lot of field goals. They weren’t the reason why they lost last night.
The defense actually looked better than I expected. I knew they had an impressive front four, but they did not get gashed too bad in the air and forced a lot of field goals. They weren’t the reason why they lost last night.
Colts vs. Bears
-Andrew Luck’s first INT was underthrown. Reggie Wayne made at least three spectacular grabs, two of which were one-handed. Luck shows a great cadence in his hard count and is smooth in pocket movement (outlined in my preseason rookie QBs article). For such a big guy, he is way more nimble with his feet than he should be. Luck is excellent at stepping up in the pocket to extend plays and convert passes. Donald Brown dropped a pair of easy passes, one of which that would have led to an early third down conversion.
They’re really going to need Dwight Freeney (who left early with injury) and Robert Mathis to stay healthy if they do not want to be a bottom rung defense. Not having ILB Pat Angerer to help against the run is bad enough.
They’re really going to need Dwight Freeney (who left early with injury) and Robert Mathis to stay healthy if they do not want to be a bottom rung defense. Not having ILB Pat Angerer to help against the run is bad enough.
-From the get go, the protection up front was horrible as
expected, but Cutler heated up when Freeney left the game with injury. Cutler made a living in the 15-25 yard range
thanks to his rocket arm. The referees
called a lot of pass interference penalties, but Brandon Marshall, Jay Cutler’s
old best friend, legitimately drew 2-3 calls.
Cutler’s 42 yard TD pass to Alshon Jeffery was a thing of beauty. That ball traveled 60 yards in the air and
right on the money.
On defense, rookie Shea McClellin comes in at Julius Peppers’s RDE spot and Peppers kicks inside to LDT. It’s not like the Colts tout anyone special on their offensive line, but the pass rush looked prominent. They continually forced Andrew Luck to step up in the pocket. Going into the season, I told myself that the Bears would be better than the Lions this year. I like where I stand.
On defense, rookie Shea McClellin comes in at Julius Peppers’s RDE spot and Peppers kicks inside to LDT. It’s not like the Colts tout anyone special on their offensive line, but the pass rush looked prominent. They continually forced Andrew Luck to step up in the pocket. Going into the season, I told myself that the Bears would be better than the Lions this year. I like where I stand.
Jaguars vs. Vikings
-Blaine Gabbert has made strides as a passer. However, he missed a complete gimme touchdown
early to Justin Blackmon on first and goal.
He overthrew Blackmon and the team had to settle for a field goal. I was a bit surprised Blackmon did not have a
bigger impact in the game, but he did eventually have a vital two point
conversion late in regulation. Gabbert
built a poor reputation last year for crumbling in a muddy pocket. He did have a few relapses this game, but he
appeared to improve from last year. The
offensive design also helped mask some of those weaknesses. He threw various types of screens, a shovel
pass, and had many designed quick throws.
It will be interesting to see if defenses wise up to the quick strike
attack and force Gabbert to hang in there longer and connect on deeper
passes. Maurice Jones-Drew wasn’t able
to bust any big runs, but he should round into form soon. He still laid a beating on a few DBs.
The defense wasn’t able to generate much of a pass rush at all and will likely continue to be an issue as the season progresses.
The defense wasn’t able to generate much of a pass rush at all and will likely continue to be an issue as the season progresses.
-Percy Harvin is a wonder.
He can cut on a dime, line up anywhere in any formation, refuses to go
down, and issues a punishment on back end players. He’s like a Swiss Army knife...definitely the
most dangerous player in the league after the catch. Nobody would have every known Adrian Peterson
was coming off a torn ACL. The lateral
quickness is still certainly there, and he busted a big run in overtime to set
up the winning field goal. Between
Peterson, Harvin, and Kyle Rudolph, the offense has three young mega weapons so
long as Christian Ponder continues to develop.
He had a stronger arm than I remember (though nothing spectacular), but
I didn’t think he looked as good as his stat line.
The defense adjusted well to the Jaguars quick strike attack. Linemen were able to get their hands on a few telegraphed passes and linebackers and safeties began to anticipate short routes. Brian Robison impressed as Jared Allen’s bookend, issuing a few QB hits as well as a pass deflection. The defensive backs were rarely challenged, but former second rounder Chris Cook was beat deep on a late touchdown that appeared to be the game-winner. He and the rest of the defensive back group will be tested with the top end QBs within the division.
The defense adjusted well to the Jaguars quick strike attack. Linemen were able to get their hands on a few telegraphed passes and linebackers and safeties began to anticipate short routes. Brian Robison impressed as Jared Allen’s bookend, issuing a few QB hits as well as a pass deflection. The defensive backs were rarely challenged, but former second rounder Chris Cook was beat deep on a late touchdown that appeared to be the game-winner. He and the rest of the defensive back group will be tested with the top end QBs within the division.
Dolphins vs. Texans
-The Dolphins actually played reasonably well at first,
notably Reggie Bush on offense. I have
long been a critic, but he has established himself as a between the tackles
runner. He has always been quick, but he
looks a lot more decisive now and dances a whole lot less. The defensive line did a great job to stop
Arian Foster when he ran between the tackles.
Randy Starks played well against the run and pass and Paul Soliai looked
great in the run game. The game got out
of hand because of turnovers. The first
turnover was an interception, but it was hard to tell if the blame falls on the
QB or receiver. Maybe it was just a
great play by Jonathan Joseph. Following
that, there were two tipped ball interceptions and a fumble. This was all in the first half.
Even before Marcus Thigpen’s punt return for TD, I liked the way he ran on kickoffs. I was actually mildly surprised the TD came via punt return and not kick return. He was better getting to top speed quickly instead of having great lateral quickness.
Even before Marcus Thigpen’s punt return for TD, I liked the way he ran on kickoffs. I was actually mildly surprised the TD came via punt return and not kick return. He was better getting to top speed quickly instead of having great lateral quickness.
-The Texans got off to a sluggish start, especially the run
defense. Offensively, they ran well on
the outside zone runs and capitalized on turnovers when given a short field. Even though he is kind of stiff, I like the
way Matt Schaub slide steps in the pocket to create space before a pass. He does not have great zip, but he
demonstrates great timing. He looks
fully healthy from last season’s injury.
JJ Watt is an absolute monster. He was consistently winning at the point of attack, batted balls down, sacked the QB, and even lined up at RDE where he drew a holding penalty on Jake Long.
JJ Watt is an absolute monster. He was consistently winning at the point of attack, batted balls down, sacked the QB, and even lined up at RDE where he drew a holding penalty on Jake Long.
Falcons vs. Chiefs
-Julio Jones, yikes.
The Falcons ran two good but blatant “pick” plays early in the game, one
of which resulted in Jones’s second TD.
I’ve seen a lot of these plays in preseason and in Week 1. It will be interesting if the referees catch
on to this. I found it interesting that
the Falcons (unofficially) had seven snaps inside the 10 yard line and did not
run once. That is an indictment on
Michael Turner.
It was a close game until Ryan Succop missed a game-tying field goal in the 3rd quarter. Ryan responded with a long TD drive then another one play drive because Matt Cassel fumbled inside his own 10. It went from potentially a tie game to a 17 point blowout in the blink of an eye. It got worse when Cassel threw a pick on the next two drives. Game over. John Abraham can still bend the edge in his 13th season. I’m a fan of safety William Moore. He saved a big run, dove for an interception, and read a bootleg to force Cassel into a horrendous 3rd down throw. I’m real bummed that CB Brent Grimes is out for the year.
It was a close game until Ryan Succop missed a game-tying field goal in the 3rd quarter. Ryan responded with a long TD drive then another one play drive because Matt Cassel fumbled inside his own 10. It went from potentially a tie game to a 17 point blowout in the blink of an eye. It got worse when Cassel threw a pick on the next two drives. Game over. John Abraham can still bend the edge in his 13th season. I’m a fan of safety William Moore. He saved a big run, dove for an interception, and read a bootleg to force Cassel into a horrendous 3rd down throw. I’m real bummed that CB Brent Grimes is out for the year.
-Matt Cassel started out hot, but he really loops the ball in
the intermediate zones and elevates the ball too much at times. He could have easily had 2-3 more interceptions
due to that in addition to his poor decision-making. Eric Winston made a nice block on a big
Jamaal Charles run that could have been a long touchdown had safety William
Moore not made him stumble and loose acceleration. Not just on that play, but I liked the way
the receivers helped out in the blocking game.
It helped spring that from a 20 yard run to a 40+ yard run.
The Chiefs were really missing some key players on defense -- Tamba Hali, Brandon Flowers, and Kendrick Lewis. The defense didn’t really pressure Ryan much, but Justin Houston could emerge as a good complement to Hali. He had a respectable rookie year last year and generated some good pressure on Ryan at times.
The Chiefs were really missing some key players on defense -- Tamba Hali, Brandon Flowers, and Kendrick Lewis. The defense didn’t really pressure Ryan much, but Justin Houston could emerge as a good complement to Hali. He had a respectable rookie year last year and generated some good pressure on Ryan at times.
Eagles vs. Browns
-Vick started out hot (6/6) then makes an awful decision by
throwing across his body. DeMeco Ryans
is an instant difference-maker for the run defense, a much needed upgrade
headed into this year. This was a real
sloppy game by Eagles offense…penalties a plenty, Vick holding onto ball too
long, botched snap, McCoy fumble, etc. In
Vick’s second pick, he had plenty of time, but his initial reads weren’t open. He then forced it late to Harbor and the linebacker
read his eyes to deflect it up for the INT.
Vick’s third interception was silly…he threw it sidearm when he didn’t
need too. The ball placement was
consequently off to his target. It was
too high and popped up into the air for INT.
The last INT was another forced pass.
He never looked off his primary read and D’Qwell Jackson jumped it…could
have easily been the back breaker if not for the last drive.
At one point, they called 43 passes to only 16 runs. As good as DeSean Jackson and Jeremy Maclin are, Andy Reid has to realize that LeSean McCoy is the best offensive player on the team. No running back in the league has his lateral quickness.
At one point, they called 43 passes to only 16 runs. As good as DeSean Jackson and Jeremy Maclin are, Andy Reid has to realize that LeSean McCoy is the best offensive player on the team. No running back in the league has his lateral quickness.
-Ouch for Brandon Weeden.
Early in the game, he overthrows Massaquoi for an easy 20-25 yard
touchdown down sideline. He is off the
hook for the first INT because Greg Little dropped a pass near the goal line. Travis Benjamin got outmuscled on a deep pass
for second INT, but Rogers-Cromartie was with him in stride the whole time…Weeden
saw single high safety and opportunity to throw, but it just wasn’t there. The third pick was pretty brutal. The route combination was kind of poor as two
receivers were running vertically in the same vicinity, but he forced the ball
for no reason…he needs to learn that he’s not tossing it up to Justin Blackmon
against a D-I corner. I have no clue
what he was doing with the last pick. Besides
the four interceptions (if you can even say that at all), it was a downright
brutal game for the rookie QB. Right tackle Mitchell Schwartz got a rude
awakening to the NFL. He was repeatedly
rag-dolled by Jason Babin. Rough day for
Trent Richardson…couldn’t get to the second level at all, longest run was 9
yards, and he botched an exchange. He’s
still working his way back to health, so it’s something to monitor next week
and beyond.
If there is a positive, the Browns defensive line played pretty well as well as the linebackers. They got reasonable pressure on Vick and held McCoy to only one 20+ yard run.
If there is a positive, the Browns defensive line played pretty well as well as the linebackers. They got reasonable pressure on Vick and held McCoy to only one 20+ yard run.
Rams vs. Lions
-The initial reading of final score suggests the offense did
well enough to win but that the defense let the team down…definitely not the
case. The defense had a pick six and set
up team in good field position on another field goal. Another field goal drive started in Lions
territory. They’re not the reason why
they lost. That being said, Bradford
zipped a few nice passes on the drive for the go ahead field goal. On the lone offensive TD drive, he had a nice
bucket throw to Brandon Gibson but was unsuccessful on the few other chances down
the field otherwise, underthrowing a potential 70+ yard touchdown. The Rams offensive line was definitely one of
the five worst I saw…they gave Steven Jackson zero room to run and it will only
get worse now that they will be without their left tackle and center for
extended time. It’s never easy going up
against the Lions front four, but the Rams haven’t upgraded their line much if
at all from last year.
-Maybe the microphones were closer to the field in this game,
but the ball just thuds into the receivers bodies when Stafford throws it…it’s
amazing. He does a good job recognizing
the hot read off blitz. However, he did
leave a few balls high, and one of his interceptions looked like a
predetermined throw to Megatron. His receivers did not do him any favors on
some passes, however…a few dropped passes in there. Stafford did look phenomenal on the
game-winning drive, as he had three 20+ yard passes before the dump off to
Kevin Smith.
Corey Williams got great inside pressure even before his strip sack. The defensive line continually got penetration on runs and linebackers consistently shot through the gaps. Ndamukong Suh made two pretty spectacular plays, one against the run and one against the pass. On the run stop, he got penetration and threw the 230 lbs. Jackson to the ground with one arm. On a sack, he split a double team to get to Sam Bradford.
Corey Williams got great inside pressure even before his strip sack. The defensive line continually got penetration on runs and linebackers consistently shot through the gaps. Ndamukong Suh made two pretty spectacular plays, one against the run and one against the pass. On the run stop, he got penetration and threw the 230 lbs. Jackson to the ground with one arm. On a sack, he split a double team to get to Sam Bradford.
Redskins vs. Saints
-I saw countless WR screens
on the first drive with RGIII in shotgun on nearly every snap. I don’t think Redskins fans could have been
any happier than that 88 yard TD pass to Pierre Garcon. Not only was it a great play, it was Griffin’s
first TD pass and it was the first run after catch TD they had seen in two
seasons. The pass was a tad high, but
Garcon made a great catch in stride and he was Griffin’s second read. Impressive stuff. Even more impressive was the first play of
the second quarter. On a bootleg to his
left, RGIII is pressured by free safety Malcolm Jenkins. Griffin stiff arms Jenkins, goes back to his
right, and throws on the run for a 26 yard completion on the sideline. The ball travels 36 yards in the air! The first TD was great, but that play was the
“holy shit, this guy has arrived” kind of play.
I love the way RGIII sells the ball fake on bootlegs and in the spread
option…those plays and formations are going to be a headache for opposing
defenses. I understand that the coaching
staff places a lot of value on ball security, but Alfred Morris came off as a
bit of a plodder…in my opinion, he is better suited to be a clock-killing
back. Let Royster get the early carries
and have Helu as the passing down back.
I don’t profess to be a Special Teams expert, but I watched the “All-22” and have no idea what the hell Reed Doughty was doing on that blocked punt. Kudos to Jim Haslett for dialing up a great defensive game plan. DeAngelo Hall had a great day blitzing from the slot…he continuously got pressure. Ryan Kerrigan and Barry Cofield also had a good day getting pressure up front. All in all, the Redskins were the second best team I saw in Week 1.
I don’t profess to be a Special Teams expert, but I watched the “All-22” and have no idea what the hell Reed Doughty was doing on that blocked punt. Kudos to Jim Haslett for dialing up a great defensive game plan. DeAngelo Hall had a great day blitzing from the slot…he continuously got pressure. Ryan Kerrigan and Barry Cofield also had a good day getting pressure up front. All in all, the Redskins were the second best team I saw in Week 1.
-I don’t give a crap what the box score says; the Saints got
handled on Sunday and the game was never as close as it suggests. They scored a borderline garbage time TD and
had a blocked punt for a score. Take
those two away and they generated 18 real offensive points. It goes without saying, but Jimmy Graham is a
monster. On his first TD, London
Fletcher could not have covered him any better, but he just played basketball
on him and got above the rim for the catch.
That was definitely one of those great defense better offense type of
plays. However, Drew Brees looked out of
rhythm all day long. He was under duress
many times but regardless was far less accurate than normal. I just looked at his box score and it was
even worse than I had anticipated – less than 50% completions.
I don’t think the defense was ready for what the Redskins threw at them. Either way, they need someone else besides Will Smith to step up in the pass rush game because Steve Spagnuolo is not a heavy blitzing coordinator like Gregg Williams. Smith was stonewalled by Trent Williams and hardly anyone generated pressure. I’m quite confident they will respond from this game, but the Saints were one of the most disappointing teams of Week 1. I just expected more from a team with a chip on its shoulder playing behind one of the league’s most hostile environments.
I don’t think the defense was ready for what the Redskins threw at them. Either way, they need someone else besides Will Smith to step up in the pass rush game because Steve Spagnuolo is not a heavy blitzing coordinator like Gregg Williams. Smith was stonewalled by Trent Williams and hardly anyone generated pressure. I’m quite confident they will respond from this game, but the Saints were one of the most disappointing teams of Week 1. I just expected more from a team with a chip on its shoulder playing behind one of the league’s most hostile environments.
Steelers vs. Broncos
-The Steelers appeared to use a traditional fullback more often than in the past. I saw a lot more quick throws, especially to Brown to utilize RAC ability. In the first half, the protection was actually good considering the opponent. Part of that is attributed to the quick passing attack, however. I counted five red zone targets for Heath Miller. The third one he was wide open in the end zone, but Roethlisberger didn’t put any air under it. Miller was targeted a fourth time in the 2 minute drill and this time Roethlisberger was able to connect for the TD. The Steelers really liked using route combinations with Miller and Mike Wallace down near the goal line. Doug Legursky did an adequate job filling in for Maurkice Pouncey late in the 2010 Playoffs, but boy was he bad when he filled in for Ramon Foster. He was constantly overwhelmed in pass protection. I can see why some of the Fantasy Football gurus prefer Jonathan Dwyer over Isaac Redman; Dwyer does a much better job of gaining yards after contact. Keep Redman as the passing down back.
A lot of Steelers talk in the offseason centered around if
the defense was getting too old. People
will probably point to the Demaryius Thomas touchdown as proof that the defense
is slowing down. They might be right on
that play, but I thought they still played well enough for most of the game. Things only went downhill when the Broncos
went no-huddle. For a team that relies
on creative defensive play-calling and blitzes, the no-huddle can have a
crippling effect because it puts you on your heels and gives less time to dial
up the proper play. It could be a
concern down the road, but for now just move on because there are probably only
2-3 QBs who can run the no-huddle on Manning’s level.
-Peyton Manning is still the smartest QB in the game. We all knew the arm strength wouldn’t be all
there (and he never had a rocket to begin with), but he didn’t consistently throw
a tight spiral early in the game…there were some wobblers in there. I don’t think I have ever seen more illegal
formation penalties in a game, and that goes for both offenses. On the Demaryius Thomas 71 yard TD, both Ryan
Clady and Zane Beadles are able to get a block on safeties Troy Polamalu and
Ryan Mundy to spring him free. You’re
not going to catch Thomas in the open field.
The Broncos never had a great deal of success running the ball, nobody
ever does against the Steelers, but there was a lot more room to run when they
went to the no-huddle in the 4th quarter. In the broadcast, Cris Collinsworth astutely
noted that Manning would check to a run anytime he saw a two deep safety look;
when a safety came down to the box, he checked to a pass.
Obviously Elvis Dumervil and Von Miller are two of the best
bookends in the game, but I liked what I saw from rookie defensive lineman
Derek Wolfe. He did a good job operating
against guards in passing situations.
You have to give the defensive backs credit for not really allowing any
big passing plays. When Mike Wallace’s
longest catch is 14 yards, you’re doing something right.
Cowboys vs. Giants
- This was a really sloppy game from both sides. For two teams that usually engage in high
stakes shootouts, this was a snore.
Regardless, Tony Romo proved why he is a Harry Houdini-esque escape
artist. He evaded many a sack and turned
it into some major positive yardage.
Kevin Ogletree awoke from a career long slumber to carve up the Giants. Despite a fluky 40+ yard run (seriously, it
looked like a high school play), DeMarco Murray still ran effectively.
The biggest difference in the defense this year is the
addition of its two cover corners – rookie Morris Claiborne and Brandon
Carr. By and large, rookie cornerbacks
struggle to make the adjustment to the NFL.
Receivers are better, routes are run more efficiently, coverages are
more complex, etc. For a guy playing in
his first game while matched mostly up against Hakeem Nicks, he did a fabulous
job. Carr played a solid game himself as
well, but I was disappointed he missed a chance at an easy interception. On a long completion to Domenik Hixon, Carr
could have easily taken down the jump ball had he not mistimed his jump. DeMarcus Ware’s performance showed that he
wants to have a death grip on the term “best pass rusher in the league.”
-Wednesday was a real disappointing night for the defending
champs. They became the first defending
champs to lose the inaugural game since NBC started the “Kickoff Game” nearly a
decade ago. Eli Manning still looked
sharp as ever, but his offensive line did him zero favors. He did a great job of shrugging it off last
year, but that unit is absolutely dreadful; the worst part is I think it is a
worse unit than last year. Ahmad
Bradshaw showed why he is one of the toughest backs in the league. He was still able to grind out some yardage
and had an impressive touchdown to keep the Giants in the game. I was not surprised to hear reports that
Hakeem Nicks is still recovering from his injury. He did not look like he was running at full
speed.
Seahawks vs. Cardinals
- Finally it was time for me to see the Russell
Wilson hubbub from the past two months.
Like most rookies, you could see the flashes of why he was praised so
much. On a second half TD to Sidney
Rice, he quickly worked through two progressions before finding Rice in the end
zone. He is also pretty elusive in the
pocket; however, sometimes he bailed on the play too quickly, especially versus
the blitz. Russell Wilson’s pick at the
end of the half was misleading…he was pretty much just tossing it up deep for a
prayer to get into field goal range.
Anyway, he led his team down for the winning drive but was plagued by
two killer drops. Marshawn Lynch didn’t
break any substantial runs, but he was able to push the pile and end up with an
OK stat line.
I was a big fan of Seattle’s defense. The Cardinals trot out one of the league’s
worst offensive lines, but Seattle completely squashed their running game. Red Bryant, Chris Clemons, Jason Jones, and
Brandon Mebane do a great job of clogging running lanes. Speaking of Chris Clemons, he is one of the
more underrated pass rushers in the game.
He does a great job bending the edge and jarred the ball loose twice on
John Skelton. For some reason the first
swat was ruled an incomplete pass; the second swat forced a fumble that Arizona
unfortunately recovered. Brandon Browner
and Richard Sherman did a respectable job on Larry Fitzgerald until the final
drive. Leon Washington showcased his
extraordinary return skills, nearly sending both a kick and a punt return to
the house. Nonetheless, both returns set
up two separate Seahawks scores.
-John Skelton is an interesting quarterback. He can be completely erratic at times or make
pretty poor decisions, but he can also sling the rock to move the ball down the
field. With no running game whatsoever,
he was still able to keep his team in the game.
That being said, he did a pretty poor job with decision-making when
flushed out of the pocket. On one
specific play, he was trying to throw the ball away but kept it too close to
the sidelines. It resulted in an
athletic interception by Richard Sherman.
After getting hurt with an ankle sprain late, Kevin Kolb came in and led
his team to what ended up being the game-winning TD. For a guy maligned for his poor ability
against pressure and blitzes, he made a key throw to Larry Fitzgerald for about
20 yards. He hit Fitzgerald right from
where the blitz came.
On defense, I’m a big fan of linemen Calais Campbell and
Darnell Dockett. Campbell has the most
freakish length of any 3-4 defensive end in the league. He can get penetration on passing downs and
can use his amazing wingspan to bat down passes. On running downs, he moves incredibly well
down the line of scrimmage to take away stretch plays. Dockett was incredible at shooting through
gaps and disrupting the runner as well as the passer. Even though he did not have a big run, I
think Patrick Peterson is one of the two best punt returners in the
league. He has such amazing vision,
change of direction, and top end speed.
He still needs to improve as a cover corner, however. He picked up two pass interference penalties
with one that would have fans pointing the finger at him if the team lost.
Monday, September 10, 2012
Stickin' It to Vegas -- Week 1
After removing the proverbial egg on my face due to the Kickoff Game predictions, it is time to rebound from my poor start. Going through each game, I will pick the overall winner and the spread winner. Currently, I am 0-1 in winners and 0-1 against the spread.
I know this is posted on Monday, which makes the average person believe these picks are about as compromised as Onterrio Smith's urine sample, but I did have my picks in place prior to Sunday's games. On to the picks...
Colts at Bears (-10): Bears win; Colts with the points
Eagles (-9) at Browns: Eagles win and cover
Bills at Jets (-3): Jets win and cover
Redskins at Saints (-8.5): Saints win and cover
Patriots (-5.5) at Titans: Patriots win and cover
Jaguars at Vikings (-3.5): Vikings win; Jaguars with the points
Dolphins at Texans (-13): Texans win and cover
Rams at Lions (-8.5): Lions win and cover
Falcons (-2.5) at Chiefs: Falcons win and cover
49ers at Packers (-5): Packers win and cover
Panthers (-3) at Bucs: Panthers win and cover
Seahawks (-3) at Cardinals: Seahawks win and cover
Steelers at Broncos (-2.5): Steelers win and take the points
Bengals at Ravens (-7): Ravens win and cover
Chargers at Raiders (-1): Raiders win and cover
I know this is posted on Monday, which makes the average person believe these picks are about as compromised as Onterrio Smith's urine sample, but I did have my picks in place prior to Sunday's games. On to the picks...
Colts at Bears (-10): Bears win; Colts with the points
Eagles (-9) at Browns: Eagles win and cover
Bills at Jets (-3): Jets win and cover
Redskins at Saints (-8.5): Saints win and cover
Patriots (-5.5) at Titans: Patriots win and cover
Jaguars at Vikings (-3.5): Vikings win; Jaguars with the points
Dolphins at Texans (-13): Texans win and cover
Rams at Lions (-8.5): Lions win and cover
Falcons (-2.5) at Chiefs: Falcons win and cover
49ers at Packers (-5): Packers win and cover
Panthers (-3) at Bucs: Panthers win and cover
Seahawks (-3) at Cardinals: Seahawks win and cover
Steelers at Broncos (-2.5): Steelers win and take the points
Bengals at Ravens (-7): Ravens win and cover
Chargers at Raiders (-1): Raiders win and cover
Sunday, September 9, 2012
That Visor is Coming Off: Vegas Over/Unders and Season Predictions
(More to come later)
Patriots at 12 wins: OVER
Jets at 8.5 wins: UNDER
Bills at 7 wins: PUSH
Dolphins at 7.5 wins: UNDER (easy money)
Steelers at 10 wins: OVER
Ravens at 10 wins: PUSH
Bengals at 7.5 wins: UNDER
Browns at 5.5 wins: UNDER
Texans at 10 wins: OVER
Titans at 7 wins: OVER
Jaguars at 5.5 wins: OVER
Colts at 5.5 wins: OVER
Broncos at 9.5 wins: UNDER
Chiefs at 8 wins: OVER
Chargers at 9 wins: UNDER
Raiders at 7 wins: UNDER
Giants at 9.5 wins: OVER
Eagles at 10 wins: PUSH
Cowboys at 8.5 wins: UNDER
Redskins at 6.5 wins: OVER
Packers at 12 wins: PUSH
Lions at 9.5 wins: UNDER
Bears at 8.5 wins: OVER
Vikings at 6 wins: PUSH
Falcons at 9 wins: OVER
Saints at 10 wins: PUSH
Panthers at 7.5 wins: OVER
Bucs at 6 wins: PUSH
49ers at 10 wins: UNDER
Seahawks at 7 wins: OVER
Cardinals at 7 wins: UNDER
Rams at 6 wins: PUSH
AFC Playoffs
Patriots
Steelers
Texans
Chiefs
Ravens
Broncos
NFC Playoffs
Eagles
Packers
Falcons
Seahawks
Giants
Saints
Super Bowl
Patriots over Falcons
Wednesday, September 5, 2012
Stickin’ It to Vegas – The Inaugural Edition
Man, do I hate
gambling. For the competitive and
prideful person I am, I simply cannot accept the fact that when you go to a
casino, you will lose more times than you will win. Want to play Roulette? You’re going to lose over
52% of the time. Want to play Blackjack? Go ahead, but don’t even think about
winning more than 43% of the time unless you’re Rain Man. Some people enjoy the “thrill” of it all, but
for me, the pain of losing carries the weight of a “Biggest Loser” entrant while
the joy of winning is as short-lived as a Matthew Perry sitcom.
Then why the heck am I
bothering with NFL predictions? Surely
it is a losing battle, right? For
starters, this is all being done with Monopoly money. Losing here only hurts my pride, not my
wallet as well. Last year, I fought
Vegas on the team over/under win predictions.
I ended up 17-13 with a pair of pushes in there too. I think the mere mentioning that I (slightly)
beat Vegas might lead to me having my fingers broken like the guy in the movie “Casino.”
Anyway, with the Kickoff Game tonight, it is time to
stick it to Vegas for the next five months.
Here we go…
Matchup: Dallas
Cowboys at New York Giants
Spread: Giants
(-3.5)
Over/Under: 45
Key Nuggets:
- Since the Kickoff Game was introduced in
2004, the reigning Super Bowl champ is 8-0 and has won the game by five or more
points in six of the eight games
- Including the playoff matchup in January
2008, the Giants are 7-2 in the last nine games versus the Cowboys
- Since 2007, the Giants and Cowboys have
played each other eleven times. The
teams have combined for more than 45 points on nine occasions. These games are typically shootouts. 45 is a relatively low number, especially
considering the fact that in 2011 New York averaged 24.6 points per game and Dallas
averaged 23.1 points.
Prediction: I’ll take the Giants -3.5 and the over.
Final Score: Giants
31, Cowboys 27
Wednesday, August 15, 2012
Initial Thoughts on the Rookie QBs
Thanks to some free time and access to all the preseason games, I observed the four first round rookie QBs -- Andrew Luck, Robert Griffin III, Ryan Tannehill, and Brandon Weeden -- in their first ever NFL appearances. Remember, it's limited action in a meaningless game and a lot can change when real bullets start flying. Here is my immediate take:
Andrew Luck: This guy is the real deal. The first thing that strikes the viewer is how composed he is. Right off the bat, you can tell he has tremendous football IQ. The thing that impressed me the most was how well he moved within the pocket. His offensive line did not do a very good job protecting him, but it did not faze him at all. He knew when to step up, when to sidestep, and when to abandon the pocket, all with keeping his eyes down the field. Luck also displayed the ability to go through his progressions. He looked like a seasoned veteran out there.
As far as physical tools go, he is pretty thickly built. Unless Luck has a low pain threshold, he will end up being the most durable of all the rookie QBs. For such a big guy, he moves pretty easily and displayed that on a scramble. In terms of spinning the ball, I saw a very accurate QB. Nearly every incompletion was a drop or a throwaway when under duress. I cannot remember one bad ball thrown. While he probably has the weakest arm of the four QBs, I would not say that it limits him. Furthermore, I think he displays such excellent touch on the ball when necessary and that can make it falsely appear that he lacks arm strength. Overall, I would say he has average arm strength, but his vastly superior quarterback IQ will always compensate for it.
Most Impressive Play: 1st & 10 at the Rams 33 yard line with 4:08 remaining in the second quarter. With WR Quan Cosby lined up in the slot, Luck finds Cosby streaking down the seam for a 32 yard gain. The inside linebacker is in trail coverage with deep safeties over the top. Luck puts the absolute perfect amount of touch on the ball, and places it on Cosby's back shoulder, purposely on the opposite side of the trailing LB. The ball travels 28 yards in the air and sets the Colts up at the goal line.
Robert Griffin III: What I saw was a guy who looked comfortable being in charge. RGIII has a very smooth throwing motion, almost appearing nonchalant in the process. He flicks the ball out with pretty nice zip and can toss the ball outside the numbers.
In terms of the offensive structure, he fits Shanahan's scheme like a glove. The Redskins were starting three replacement linemen in the game, so they weren't able to really establish the run when Griffin was in the game. However, you can tell that running the stretch zone plays will open up a lot of bootleg opportunities.
When asked to pass, Griffin was able to operate from under center and in shotgun. I thought he was able to go through his progressions well and hit a secondary receiver in stride. Consequently, he was able to hit a few intermediate passes to Pierre Garcon, who appears to be RGIII's top target this year. I did not see one poorly thrown ball.
While the offensive line was poor in run blocking, they were very effective in protection. That being said, I wish they weren't because I was not able to gauge his pocket presence. Maybe it was the design of some quick throws or his ability to get rid of the ball in time, but I did not see one instance where he was necessitated to step up or to the side while in the pocket. Additionally, the good protection also prevented me from seeing his running ability. Consider me impressed overall, but I would give an "Incomplete" grade for his pocket presence.
Most Impressive Play: 1st & 10 at own 43 yard line, 8:20 remaining in the first quarter. RGIII excellently uses his cadence to draw an offsides from the defense and gets a "free" play. On a play-action pass, Griffin hits Pierre Garcon for an 18 yard gain over the middle. The ball travels 18 yards in the air. What grabbed my attention was how good his play fake was. He did a great job of selling it, and the linebackers started going downhill to attack the perceived run. As a result, Griffin has a giant window to flick the ball to Garcon. While a play-action play usually has an easy read, the fact that he was able to get the defensive line to jump and get the linebackers to take false steps shows off some veteran savvy.
Ryan Tannehill: This is a big dude. He's pretty athletic to boot, too. The second thing I quickly noticed was how often he was operating out of shotgun. I did not watch Matt Moore at QB, so I cannot tell if that is something new Head Coach Joe Philbin wants to instill in the offense or if it was something unique to Tannehill.
Going back to the athleticism, I thought he did a great job of getting outside the pocket on the bootleg, showing a solid amount of quickness. I was also impressed with his arm strength and delivery.
I do have a few reservations about Tannehill at the moment. Primarily, he was the only QB of the four to be playing strictly against the backups. That being said, he had a pretty unheralded supporting cast to throw to and was able to move the ball down the field with consistency. Kudos to him. However, I found his accuracy to be a little suspect at times. He had a few easy misses in there and did not give the receiver a chance to catch the ball. While he looked comfortable in the pocket, he did not seem to go through his progressions quite like Griffin or Luck. That is probably to be expected, however, since he is after all a rookie and originally came to college as a wide receiver. I can see the long-term tools, namely arm strength and physically looking the part, but I do not know how much impact he can have this year.
Most Impressive Play: 3rd & 11 at own 29 yard line, 8:30 remaining in third quarter. Tannehill throws a ball that travels 17 yards in the air to Roberto Wallace, who is streaking down along the numbers. Wallace picks up 20+ yards for the first down. This might have been the best throw from all four QBs. Without having access to the "All-22" camera for preseason, I cannot be certain on the defensive coverage, but it appeared to be a Cover 2 shell. Either way, Tannehill is able to zip a tight spiral with enough arc to go over the corner but enough speed to have it arrive before the safety meets the receiver. The timing, the touch, and the arm strength necessary to pull it off had me saying "Wow!" That was a throw that some QBs simply cannot make.
Brandon Weeden: For a guy that turns 29 before the season opener, a Browns fan would hope that Weeden would appear to be the most pro ready quarterback. I did not see that from him in his first glimpse of action.
There are certainly some things to like about Weeden. He has a compact throwing motion and seems to have a solid release. He also has enough arm strength to make a lot of NFL throws.
However, I saw more negatives from him versus the other three QBs. For starters, I thought he was the least composed QB when it came to being under pressure. Going against the Detroit Lions front four is no picnic, but he either held onto the ball too long or left the pocket too quickly. As far as the former, that is what led to a sack and forced fumble he let up. Weeden appeared to have one too many hitches and it cost him. I also caught him staring down a receiver on a comeback, and it almost led to a pick six because the cornerback read it all the way. Lastly, I thought he had the least effective play-action fake of the group. It did not persuade me, and on film it did not convince the linebackers either. In my opinion, it did not look like he really extended his arms on the fake and it came off a little haphazard.
Weeden is probably ready to be a non-replacement level starter from the get go and is an upgrade over Colt McCoy, but does he have any upside whatsoever? If I am a Browns fan, I become even more puzzled at my hapless franchise. It's the NFL and who the hell knows what could happen, but I would be surprised if he ever becomes an above average QB.
Most Impressive Play: 2nd & 7 at own 43 yard line, 1st quarter. Weeden connects with WR Travis Benjamin down the left sideline for a huge 32 yard gain. The ball travels 32 yards in the air. Weeden recognizes 1 on 1 coverage with Benjamin and drops it perfectly in the bucket for him, placing the ball away from the corner where only Benjamin can get it. The ball is thrown such that no deep safety could make a play on the ball yet not too far out of bounds that Benjamin cannot get both feet in. That is not an easy throw, but he executed it flawlessly.
Thursday, August 9, 2012
Living in Fantasy Land: Picking an Olympic Football Squad
Every time the Olympics
roll around, I find myself wondering what it would be like if professional
football were an eligible sport. It’s
probably an exercise in futility because in order for a sport to gain access to
the Olympics, it must be played in seventy-five countries and four
continents. Regardless, I think an
American football squad would squash the competition like Gallagher with a
sledgehammer and watermelon. That would
be the real Dream Team.
For the sake of pure enjoyment, I perused NFL rosters, put on my Kevin Colbert cap, and came up with the ideal lineup for a 2012 Olympic squad (if the sport is magically deemed a summer event). There are a few disclaimers, however:
1) The purpose of this is to compile the best team possible, not just throw out a
list of All Pros and Pro Bowlers. Now, a
lot of the players will have those accolades, but the goal was to fit the
pieces together best and have players properly complement each other. Furthermore, some players were given a little
more consideration due to position flexibility.
2) Only healthy players are chosen. Sure, players like Adrian Peterson, Jason
Peters, and Peyton Manning would be absolute shoe-ins for the team, but what
good would they be if they were asked to play in a game right now? Peterson is gradually working himself back
but isn’t ready while Peters, coming off of a recent Achilles tear, is probably
walking like Kevin Spacey in “The Usual Suspects” at the moment. Manning’s neck is probably about as stiff as
Hugh Hefner on a Viagra bender right now.
3) There are a few instances of ultra-youth and
seniority here. Before you get up in
arms about someone like Ray Lewis on the roster, go back and reread #1 then
read my reasoning later.
4) Just like an NFL team can only suit up 46 players
on game day, this team’s roster is 46.
Offense
QBs (3): Aaron
Rodgers (GB), Tom Brady (NE), Drew Brees (NO)
-
Without a
doubt, the three best and healthiest QBs in the business. While I believe Rodgers is the best, you
really cannot go wrong with starting any of the three. The drop-off is
practically negligible.
RBs (3): Arian
Foster (HOU), LeSean McCoy (PHI), Maurice Jones-Drew (JAC)
-
Foster is
the best (healthy) RB in the league, no questions asked. He has no weaknesses to his game, and he has
the size to be a durable back for years.
Jones-Drew would be an outstanding 4th quarter “kill the
clock” back, while McCoy would be a gem on passing downs or as a change of pace
on running downs. Or, since the
opposition would get slaughtered either way, you can take the Bill Guthridge
approach and rotate the starter for each game based on alphabetical order.
FBs (1): Vonta
Leach (BAL)
-
Vonta
Leach is slowly approaching Lorenzo Neal status which means wherever he goes,
the RB behind him has a mega season. It
worked for Arian Foster in 2010 and it worked for Ray Rice last year. A fullback usually does not see major snaps,
but he’d be extremely useful when implemented on offense and as an upback on
kick returns where he can lay bone-crushing hits.
WRs (5): Larry
Fitzgerald (ARI), Calvin Johnson (DET), Andre Johnson (HOU), Wes Welker (NE),
Percy Harvin (MIN)
-
Is this
the list of the top five receivers in the league? No, but this is the best
combination of receivers the USA could field.
Fitzgerald and the Johnsons are the top three receivers in the game, and
while each can occasionally line up in the slot, they’re not ideally suited
there. This is where Welker and Harvin
come into play, as both players complement the top three. Some might question the Harvin pick, but
here’s my explanation: He is one of the
best young playmakers in the business and can hurt you in so many ways. He’s more explosive than Welker and he can
line up in the slot, on the outside, in the backfield, and on kickoff returns.
TEs (2): Rob
Gronkowski (NE), Jimmy Graham (NO)
-
Good
lord. A pair of 6’6”+ mammoths with rare ball skills equals
terror. Gronkowski is hands down the
best all-around tight end in the game, and Graham is the basketball equivalent
of having Dwight Howard defending the rim while wearing Moon Shoes (had to make
at least one Nickelodeon toy reference in this article). The red zone offense would be a pitch and
catch all day.
OTs (3): Joe
Thomas (CLE), Andrew Whitworth (CIN), Tyron Smith (DAL)
-
At first
glance this might appear to be an underwhelming unit, so I must explain. Thomas is the best left tackle in the game,
so his mentioning needs no explanation.
Cincinnati has been quietly fielding one of the better offensive lines
in the game the past few years, and Whitworth is the anchor at left tackle. Standing at a gargantuan 6’7” and 330 lbs.,
he surprisingly has enough quickness to man the blindside. With his frame, he could man the right tackle
spot as well. Smith, the youngest player
on the team, could be seen as a bit of a head-scratcher. You could go with more of a natural right
tackle like a Bryan Bulaga or Eric Winston, but Smith played surprisingly well
as a rookie. Having this trio also gives
the unit the versatility to man both left and right tackle, something they all
boast and Bulaga and Winston do not necessarily possess.
Gs (3): Jahri
Evans (NO), Carl Nicks (TB), Marshal Yanda (BAL)
-
Evans and
Nicks are both road graders that have received their fair share of accolades
the past few years, so it comes to no surprise that both are the choice
here. Yanda has been a mainstay in
Baltimore’s steady offensive line for five seasons now. He also has the ability to kick out to right
tackle if need be.
Cs (2): Nick
Mangold (NYJ), Maurkice Pouncey (PIT)
-
Even when
I put the green shades down, Mangold is still the best center in the
league. He is excellent in the run game
and is extremely intelligent when asked to assist his guards in pass
protection. Nipping at his heels is the
young Maurkice Pouncey, who made an immediate impact since entering the league
two years ago. Both players are capable
of playing guard as well.
Defense
3-4 DEs/4-3 DTs (3): Haloti
Ngata (BAL), Justin Smith (SF), Ndamukong Suh (DET)
-
In order
to get the best combination of players, the defense will run both a 3-4 and 4-3
scheme. Ngata, Smith, and Suh all
provide rare quickness with their brute strength. Not only are all three strong in run support,
but they have no problem when asked to rush the quarterback. Nobody wants to take a hit from any of these
guys. Just ask Ben Roethlisberger who
took a whack to the face from Ngata in 2010, causing his nose to bend to a 90
degree angle. Needless to say, he was
looking kind of dumb with his bridge of his nose in the shape of an “L” on his
forehead (anyone who understood that terrible lyrical take on a terrible pop
song from a decade ago is forever awesome in my book).
NTs (1): Vince
Wilfork (NE)
-
Go back
and watch the AFC Championship game last year and tell me he wasn’t the best
player on the field that day. Utilizing
an impressive combination of leverage and strength, he had Matt Birk, an aging
but still effective center, backpedalling faster than Michael Jackson in
Moonwalker. That game was not an
aberration. For eight seasons now,
Wilfork has been one of the game’s premier nose tackles. He might not be the best anymore, but he is
probably still the smartest at his position.
3-4 OLBs/4-3 DEs (4):
DeMarcus Ware (DAL), Jared Allen (MIN), Trent Cole (PHI), Clay Matthews
(GB)
-
You’re
looking at four of the most dominant pass rushers in the game, but you’re also
looking at some of the best run stopping edge players as well. Ware is the gold standard for outside
linebackers. Allen is the same for
defensive ends. Cole might be the most
underrated defensive end in the game, but his numbers speak for
themselves. Matthews’s sack totals were
not as eye-popping as 2010, but his total pressure was not much different. Ware and Matthews would be the starters in
base 3-4 looks, while Allen and Cole would be the starters in base 4-3 looks.
4-3 OLBs (3): Von
Miller (DEN), Sean Weatherspoon (ATL), Daryl Smith (JAC)
-
Miller was
a QB nightmare the instant he stepped on the field last year. The only thing that slowed him down was a
late-season injury, but it still did not impede his march to becoming Defensive
Rookie of the Year. Weatherspoon
combines speed, ferociousness, and coverage ability to the weakside
position. Smith has quietly been one of
the game’s top non-rush outside linebackers, and he would provide excellent
insurance behind Miller and Weatherspoon.
3-4 ILBs/4-3 MLBs
(3): Patrick Willis (SF), Ray Lewis
(BAL), Sean Lee (DAL)
-
I don’t
care to remember who carried the Olympic torch this year, but I do know that
Patrick Willis received the middle linebacker torch from Ray Lewis a few years
ago. He can dominate in any scheme. Lewis has certainly slowed down a little bit
in the past two years, but he is still effective and would be an excellent leader
and voice for the defense. Hey, if Larry
Bird on his last legs was asked to be on the Dream Team, Lewis deserves to be
on this team. After watching a handful
of Cowboys games last year, Lee really caught my eye. He is one of the few inside linebackers in
the game with excellent coverage skills.
CBs (4): Darrelle
Revis (NYJ), Charles Woodson (GB), Brent Grimes (ATL), Jonathan Joseph (HOU)
-
Darrelle
Revis needs no explanation. Even at his
older age, Woodson can still play a multitude of positions including slot
corner and be a ballhawk. For a player
as small as Brent Grimes, he jumps like Spud Webb in a Slam Dunk Contest. It truly is incredible to see. He also has pretty slick coverage to
boot. Joseph has consistently been one
of the game’s better corners for a few years now, but last year was his coming
out party. This four man combination
touts a healthy mix of man-to-man corners, zone corners, feisty tacklers, and
playmakers.
Ss (3): Troy Polamalu (PIT), Ed Reed (BAL), Earl Thomas (SEA)
-
Polamalu
and Reed are on the downside of their careers, but they’re still damn good
safeties. Both men provide once in a
decade type instincts that allow them to freelance at times and come up with
game-changing plays. The two can play
off each other, with Polamalu prowling in the box while Reed plays centerfield in
the deep safety position. Thomas is a
smaller safety, but he is certainly an up-and-comer in the NFL and edges out
the rehabilitating Eric Berry at the moment.
Special Teams
PKs (1): Sebastian
Janikowksi (OAK)
-
Placekickers
tend to have very fickle careers. In one
season they can be on top of the world, then suddenly the next year it seems as
if they even forgot to kick a ball and consequently find themselves on the
street. Janikowski might not be the most accurate kicker in the league, but he
has pulled off the rare feat of sticking with his team his whole career. He also throws in a monster leg to boot that
can aid on long field goals and a plethora of
touchback opportunities because
frankly, this team will be scoring a lot.
Ps (1): Shane
Lechler (OAK)
-
Lechler
has been another guy to stick with his team for so long. He too provides a superhuman leg with
excellent hang time. Consistently at the
top for several years, he edges out San Francisco’s Andy Lee.
KR/PRs (1): Devin
Hester (CHI)
-
Hester
will probably go down as the best returner of all time. He is that scary. Put him back there on punt returns and pair
him up with Percy Harvin for kick returns.
The offense will thank them later.
Coaching Staff
Head Coach: Bill
Belichick (NE)
-
He might
give snide mumble remarks in press conferences, he might not shake your hand if
you ruin his perfect season, and hell, he might even dress like the Sith Lord
when colder football months come, but he is undoubtedly the best in the
business. Nobody commands a smarter and
more disciplined team than Belichick.
This is an easy pick.
Offensive
Coordinator: Sean Payton (NO)
-
Andy Reid
would be an excellent choice here simply because he has been able to seamlessly
execute a precision offense over the years with completely different personnel,
but the nod goes to Payton. The reason
is simple: Nobody mixes and matches
personnel groupings better than Sean Payton.
He has no difficulties in creating mismatches for the defense with his
wide arsenal of backs, receivers, and tight ends. A “spread the wealth” kind of play-caller, he
is the perfect fit for a Dream Team offense that will keep everybody happy.
Defensive
Coordinator: Dick LeBeau (PIT)
-
This is
the defensive czar himself. He is filled
with decades of knowledge and might go down as the best defensive coordinator
of all time. He’ll squash your run and
he’ll have the opposition’s team doctor tell the QB, “Take two and call me in
the morning.”
Special Teams
Coordinator: John Harbaugh (BAL)
-
Before
becoming an upper echelon Head Coach, Harbaugh was the Eagles Special Teams
Coordinator for a decade. He is
well-respected and players respond to him.
Harbaugh would be one of seven current Head Coaches on the staff.
Offensive Line Coach:
Dante Scarnecchia (NE)
-
Having a
consistently good offensive line for a decade is extremely hard to
accomplish. Some of it falls on having a
sound front office, but a lot can be attributed to coaching. Thanks to Scarnecchia, Tom Brady’s jersey has
been pretty clean the past eleven seasons.
QB Coach: Mike
Shanahan (WAS)
-
He
coordinated Steve Young to a career year and helped John Elway get two elusive
Super Bowl rings. The Rodgers, Brady,
Brees triumvirate needs little coaching in the form of fundamentals, but with
Shanahan’s credentials he would be an excellent sounding off board for the future Hall of Famers.
WRs Coach: Tom
Coughlin (NYG)
-
Well
before he became a two-time Super Bowl winning Head Coach, Coughlin was a Wide
Receivers Coach under Bill Parcells and the Giants. It’s no coincidence that Coughlin’s Giants
field one of the best receiving units in the league. Now imagine him working with the quintet of
Fitzgerald, Johnson & Johnson, Welker, and Harvin.
TEs Coach: Rob
Chudzinski (CAR)
-
When you
coach the likes of Jeremy Shockey and Kelen Winslow Jr. in college, become
responsible for the development of Antonio Gates, lead Derek Anderson to the
Pro Bowl, and oversee the best rookie season by a QB ever, it’s safe to say you
know a thing or two about tight ends and offense. Need I say more?
RBs Coach: Bobby
Turner (WAS)
-
For
fifteen years in Denver, Turner oversaw the likes of Terrell Davis, Clinton
Portis, Olandis Gary, and Mike Anderson in their career years. Between Shanahan and Turner, the QB/RB
exchange will be as smooth as ever.
Defensive Line Coach:
Rex Ryan (NYJ)
-
He might
garner attention for his mouth or for his affinity for cornerbacks, but Ryan,
just like his father Buddy, got his start coaching the defensive line. A master motivator and a brilliant defensive
mind, he would be salivating at the defensive line talent at his hands, so much
so that even the lap band surgery cannot hold him back.
LBs Coach: Keith
Butler (PIT)
-
There is a
perfectly good reason why Butler, the Steelers LB coach since 2003, has never
been promoted to Defensive Coordinator or Head Coach with another team. It’s because Pittsburgh keeps giving him more
and more money to stay! Butler is the
ultimate successor to the timeless LeBeau, and he knows how to develop
linebackers. From Kendrell Bell, James
Farrior, Joey Porter, Clark Haggans,
Larry Foote, James Harrison, LaMarr Woodley, all the way to Lawrence Timmons,
it’s safe to say the man knows a thing or two about the position. The inside linebackers are run stuffers and
“A” gap blitzers, while the outside ‘backers pin their ears back and terrorize
offensive tackles. Sounds good to me.
Secondary Coach: Mike
Tomlin (PIT)
-
The top
five NFL Head Coach got his positional coach notoriety when he commanded the
defensive backs for one of the best
defenses in the past two decades – the 2002 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. A cool character that immediately earns
respect and honor from his players, Tomlin is a must for this coaching staff.
Friday, July 13, 2012
Unused Bermanesque Nicknames
Anyone who is familiar with Chris Berman knows he has a proclivity for corny player nicknames. Whether it is one as simple as Ben "Winter" Coates or a lengthier one like Jake "Day Light Come and I Want to" Delhomme, it never fails in the cheesy factor.
My disdain for Berman is well-documented, with something as recent as the last blog post that details how obnoxious of a baseball announcer he is. On NFL Sunday Countdown, his sentences are so verbose to the point where the pitch of his voice lowers so much and he begins to sound like Jiminy Glick. Regardless, he has a knack for coming up with a nickname for nearly every player.
Notice how I said nearly every player. This brings us to the premise of the article. Nothing New on the News has unearthed some archived Chris Berman type nicknames. They are mostly pop culture or intellectual references, so if you do not understand it, click on the hyperlink within the name. They do not fail in terms of lameness. Take a look:
NBA
Al-Farouq Aminu Acid
"Marvin the MarShon" Brooks
Sasha Pavlovic's Dog
"General" Greivis Vasquez
Omer "The Iron" Asik
Hasheem "We Got" Thabeet
Brian "Itzy Bitzy Teenie Weenie Yellow Polka Dot" Scalabrine
Danny "Walker, Texas" Granger
Aaron Afflalo the Leader
Jonny "In Like" Flynn
Kirk Hinrich Maneuver
"Bismack my Bitch up" Biyombo
Trevor "Thick" Booker
"She"Nene Hilario
MLB
Andre Ethier Said Than Done
Robinson Canó He Dit-int
Jayson "For What It's" Werth
Dan "This Could Get" Uggla
Xavier "My Fair" Nady
Mark Buehrle Bird Gets the Worm
Jordany Valdespin Me Right Round
NFL
Stephen "When the Moon Hits your Eye like a Big Pizza" Paea
Matt Roth IRA
Josh Sitton on the Toilet
Sam "Ya" Hurd
Anquan Boldin Retriever
Jeff Saturday Night Fever
Joseph "Live and Let" Addai
John Kuhn Skin Cap
Haloti Ngata gonna work here anymore (:25 seconds in)
Tim Fugger? I hardly know her!
Kyle Orton Hears a Who
Zane "Meet the" Beadles
Roy Heluuuuuuuu!
Jason "Idiot" Avant
Thomas DeCoud d'état
Barrett "How" Ruud
Brandon Saine in the Membrane
Tennis
Novak ""Is Wayne Brady Gonna Have to" Djokovic?
My disdain for Berman is well-documented, with something as recent as the last blog post that details how obnoxious of a baseball announcer he is. On NFL Sunday Countdown, his sentences are so verbose to the point where the pitch of his voice lowers so much and he begins to sound like Jiminy Glick. Regardless, he has a knack for coming up with a nickname for nearly every player.
Notice how I said nearly every player. This brings us to the premise of the article. Nothing New on the News has unearthed some archived Chris Berman type nicknames. They are mostly pop culture or intellectual references, so if you do not understand it, click on the hyperlink within the name. They do not fail in terms of lameness. Take a look:
NBA
Al-Farouq Aminu Acid
"Marvin the MarShon" Brooks
Sasha Pavlovic's Dog
"General" Greivis Vasquez
Omer "The Iron" Asik
Hasheem "We Got" Thabeet
Brian "Itzy Bitzy Teenie Weenie Yellow Polka Dot" Scalabrine
Danny "Walker, Texas" Granger
Aaron Afflalo the Leader
Jonny "In Like" Flynn
Kirk Hinrich Maneuver
"Bismack my Bitch up" Biyombo
Trevor "Thick" Booker
"She"Nene Hilario
MLB
Andre Ethier Said Than Done
Robinson Canó He Dit-int
Jayson "For What It's" Werth
Dan "This Could Get" Uggla
Xavier "My Fair" Nady
Mark Buehrle Bird Gets the Worm
Jordany Valdespin Me Right Round
NFL
Stephen "When the Moon Hits your Eye like a Big Pizza" Paea
Matt Roth IRA
Josh Sitton on the Toilet
Sam "Ya" Hurd
Anquan Boldin Retriever
Jeff Saturday Night Fever
Joseph "Live and Let" Addai
John Kuhn Skin Cap
Haloti Ngata gonna work here anymore (:25 seconds in)
Tim Fugger? I hardly know her!
Kyle Orton Hears a Who
Zane "Meet the" Beadles
Roy Heluuuuuuuu!
Jason "Idiot" Avant
Thomas DeCoud d'état
Barrett "How" Ruud
Brandon Saine in the Membrane
Tennis
Novak ""Is Wayne Brady Gonna Have to" Djokovic?
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