In the first piece of tangible football activity since Super Bowl XLV, the NFL Draft kicks off tonight with the first round.
Compiling a mock draft is no easy task. Not only must you sift through heaps of contradictory information from various insiders and assess value and team need, but you must realize that all it takes is one team to value a certain player high enough to pick. We all saw this last year when in a stunning move the Jacksonville Jaguars selected DT Tyson Alualu, raising eyebrows because so many teams valued him as a second rounder. The Jags didn't and thus drafted him with the 10th overall pick. He went on to justify the high selection by having a pretty good rookie year.
Oh yeah, predicting potential trades is an even more impossible task.
Which brings me to this point: The NFL Draft is a crapshoot. Mock drafts may seem like a futile attempt at prognostication, but damn it they are fun. With that being said, it's onto this first round mock. Note: This does not include trades.
1) Carolina Panthers - QB Cam Newton
2) Denver Broncos - DT Marcell Dareus
3) Buffalo Bills - DE/OLB Von Miller
4) Cincinnati Bengals - WR AJ Green
5) Arizona Cardinals - CB Patrick Peterson
6) Cleveland Browns - WR Julio Jones
7) San Francisco 49ers - QB Blaine Gabbert
8) Tennessee Titans - DT Nick Fairley
9) Dallas Cowboys - DE Cameron Jordan
10) Washington Redskins - QB Jake Locker
11) Houston Texans - DE/OLB Robert Quinn
12) Minnesota Vikings - DE Da'Quan Bowers
13) Detroit Lions - OT Tyron Smith
14) St. Louis Rams - DE Aldon Smith
15) Miami Dolphins - RB Mark Ingram
16) Jacksonville Jaguars - DE Ryan Kerrigan
17) New England Patriots - DE JJ Watt
18) San Diego Chargers - DE Cameron Heyward
19) New York Giants - G/C Mike Pouncey
20) Tampa Bay Buccaneers - CB Prince Amukamara
21) Kansas City Chiefs - OT Anthony Castonzo
22) Indianapolis Colts - OT Gabe Carimi
23) Philadelphia Eagles - DT Corey Liuget
24) New Orleans Saints - DE/DT Muhammad Wilkerson
25) Seattle Seahawks - QB Andy Dalton
26) Baltimore Ravens - CB Jimmy Smith
27) Atlanta Falcons - DE Adrian Clayborn
28) New England Patriots - OT Derek Sherrod
29) Chicago Bears - OT Nate Solder
30) New York Jets - DE/OLB Akeem Ayers
31) Pittsburgh Steelers - NT Phil Taylor
32) Green Bay Packers - G Danny Watkins
Thursday, April 28, 2011
Wednesday, April 27, 2011
DJ Tanner's top music from 2010 (Part II of IV: Songs for the Weekend)
I can't stand the radio. I used to just not stand the top 40 station and could tolerate the rest, but it's all the same when it comes down to it. All of them have (what I'll call) a "jukebox" they pick from, and it's the same songs over and over again. Even oldies or classic rock stations use the same perfunctory method when it comes to playing music. Listening to the radio at work everyday is like living in the movie "Groundhog Day." You have a classic rock station and you can pick from tens of thousands of songs, but yet I still hear the same three Rolling Stones, Beatles, or Elton John songs everyday. It becomes so trite. And don't even get me started on 90% of what I hear out in social settings.
That rant of a preface was to set the stage for the top 4 songs from 2010 that I wish I heard more in public settings such as a bar, waiting on line at Chipotle, or socializing with friends. All four of these songs are singles, but only one I have heard out in public and on television. Without further ado, I present the top 4...
4) "Tell Me Why"
by M.I.A.
Maya
M.I.A. just has a knack for extremely catchy songs. It's arguably her biggest downfall, too -- that she has a few amazingly memorable songs per album and part of the rest misses the mark. That being said, Maya, while not complete, is certainly a step in the right direction. "Tell Me Why" is a standout.
Backed by a heavy military drum beat and a sprinkling of auto tune (which I normally dislike), M.I.A. poses the question "Tell me why / Things change but they feel the same / If life is such a game / How come people all act the same?" in the chorus. I think what makes her original is her ability to meld relevant social topics in her lyrics with amazingly poppy and enjoyable songwriting.
Perfect evidence of that occurs at the 2:30 mark of the song when a wiggly bass line enters the picture and conjoins with the drum beat. It also contains my favorite lyrics:
I got roof on my head, I got food in my pot
And the old ways are dead with the new ones we got
There's water in my pot and I'm half and half not
And the old kind is broke with the new kind we bought
I drink alcohol, know the words to Wonderwall
I rewrite the code while I do my time on road
Interpreting lyrics is no science and often times is nebulous, but to me I enjoy these lines because it seems to have a theme of tradition versus progression and change over time and how we are all fallible. Think about it for a second but not too long because you are tossed right back into the addictive chorus as the song concludes. And that is what makes M.I.A. an extremely fun listen.
3) "Bright Lights, Bigger City"
by Cee Lo Green
The Lady Killer
Sometimes when I listen to Cee Lo Green, I wonder if his voice was cryogenically frozen for decades only to be broken out in the present day in order to save the world. Ya know, kinda like Austin Powers but for music instead of espionage? Somethin' like that.
Either way, when I first heard this song I was captivated because it is the ultimate "it's Friday and I just got out of work!!!" song. There is nothing like being in a good mood and having a song to perfectly capture it. This song accomplishes it to the fullest degree. Cee Lo agrees. Here is what he said to MTV News:
This song, I think, just has a broader appeal, because it's just not talking about me, it's talking about us. It's a song about the nightlife and just kinda being out and living for the weekend. It's kinda got that 'working-class hero' quality too; I reference, you know, songs like Johnny Kemp's "Just Got Paid". So it's a story that's been told before, and it's so true to life. ... We all work pretty hard throughout the week, and Friday and Saturday, you know, will always be special, so this is just a song to commemorate that.
It starts off with some synths and then before you know it, strings, bass, and drums all kick in, giving off a "Billie Jean" meets the Bee Gees vibe. Turn the clocks back about thirty years and enjoy the next three minutes.
He starts off by singing, "I've been living for the weekend / But no, not anymore / Cause here comes that familiar feeling / That Friday's famous for." If you haven't enjoyed the song up until this point, I don't know what to tell you. Maybe you just don't like Friday. Cee Lo has the perfect remedy, "Now Friday is cool / But there's something about Saturday night / You can't say what you won't do / Cause you know you just might."
While the rest of the album's roots lie in the 60s and early 70s, "Bright Lights, Bigger City" takes on the challenge of reviving the effervescent Studio 54 days of the late 70s and early 80s. It passes with flying colors.
2) "Shutterbugg (feat. Cutty)"
by Big Boi
Sir Lucious Left Foot: The Son of Chico Dusty
As Big Boi himself aptly puts it on another track "General Patton," he is back "As one half of the OutKast return like ghost of Christmas past." It has been a while since we've heard substantial material from either member of one of hip hop's greatest acts of all time -- OutKast. On this breakout album, "Shutterbugg" places the listener in the midst of a club where I'd certainly like to be.
Strapped by a memorable hook, a catchy guitar bridge, and excellent change of pace, this song is a delight from start to finish. Here is the hook:
Now party people in the club it's time to cut a rug
And throw the deuce up in the sky just for the shutterbugs
I'm double-fistin' and if you're empty you can grab a cup
Boy stop, I'm just playing, let me dap you up
Baby baby, you're in my system
Baby baby, tell me you're listening
The bridge then gives a shout out to the guys and girls in the club:
Now this goes out to all my playas in the back
Sippin' 'yac, bendin' 'round corners in the 'lac
Cut a rug, playa, now cut a rug
And throw yo' deuces in the sky for the shutterbug
And this goes out to all my ladies in the front
What you want? You make me wanna breed, girl freeze
Cut a rug, lady, now cut a rug
And throw yo' deuces in the sky for the shutterbug
This is an absolute softball for a DJ to play in a bar or club, and yet I did not hear it once at all the entire year. Maybe I don't go out as much these days, or maybe I don't live in a legitimate city that plays new or good music out at bars and clubs (Ahem: Reason #13443 to move to New York).
Either way, any song that can repopularize the term "cut a rug" gets my stamp of approval.
1) POWER
by Kanye West
My Beautiful Dark Twisted Fantasy
The stylization of the title, with it being in all caps, pretty much sums up the entire song best. Kanye West is damn good, and he damn well knows it.
The combination of two samples, one being the heavy guitar of "21st Century Schizoid Man" by King Crimson and the other the backing harmonies of "Afromerica" by funk band Continent Number 6, join forces on a song that packs a bigger punch than any Kanye West single has seen before. That in itself is incredibly bold and challenging, but it's an easy task for Mr. West. It might seem like a daring statement, but it is not -- this is his best single to date. The lyrics that accompany the beat are equally impressive. I really enjoy how Kanye expresses his disdain for those critical of him and how he acknowledges and embraces his vanity. There are two parts of the strong that incorporate this theme, and it initially appears in the second verse:
Now I embody every characteristic of the egotistic
He know, he so, fuckin gifted
I just needed time alone, with my own thoughts
Got treasures in my mind, but couldnt open up my own vault
My childlike creativity, purity and honesty
Is honestly being prodded by these grown thoughts
Reality is catchin up with me
Takin my inner child, I'm fighting for custody
With these responsibilities that they entrusted me
As I look down at my diamond encrusted piece
Then in the breakdown of the song, it gets to a point of narcissistic rage while a delicate piano eventually comes to the forefront:
Lost in translation with a whole fuckin nation
They say I was the abomination of Obama's nation
Well, that's a pretty bad way to start the conversation
At the end of day, goddammit, I'm killin this shit
I know damn well yall feelin this shit
I don't need yo pussy, bitch, I'm on my own dick
I ain't gotta power trip, who you goin home with?
While some hip hop tracks have a predictable verse, hook, rinse, wash, repeat method to it, this is far from it (As I will expound later, it's a noticeable trend on this unique album). At this moment, however, Dwele provides the final haunting vocals as the song shifts gears. Dwele was excellent on Graduation's "Flashing Lights" and he fits perfectly in "POWER" as well. Overall, this is a song that immediately grabs your attention but never lets go over time. Kind of like Kanye's iron fist over the rap game.
That rant of a preface was to set the stage for the top 4 songs from 2010 that I wish I heard more in public settings such as a bar, waiting on line at Chipotle, or socializing with friends. All four of these songs are singles, but only one I have heard out in public and on television. Without further ado, I present the top 4...
4) "Tell Me Why"
by M.I.A.
Maya
M.I.A. just has a knack for extremely catchy songs. It's arguably her biggest downfall, too -- that she has a few amazingly memorable songs per album and part of the rest misses the mark. That being said, Maya, while not complete, is certainly a step in the right direction. "Tell Me Why" is a standout.
Backed by a heavy military drum beat and a sprinkling of auto tune (which I normally dislike), M.I.A. poses the question "Tell me why / Things change but they feel the same / If life is such a game / How come people all act the same?" in the chorus. I think what makes her original is her ability to meld relevant social topics in her lyrics with amazingly poppy and enjoyable songwriting.
Perfect evidence of that occurs at the 2:30 mark of the song when a wiggly bass line enters the picture and conjoins with the drum beat. It also contains my favorite lyrics:
I got roof on my head, I got food in my pot
And the old ways are dead with the new ones we got
There's water in my pot and I'm half and half not
And the old kind is broke with the new kind we bought
I drink alcohol, know the words to Wonderwall
I rewrite the code while I do my time on road
Interpreting lyrics is no science and often times is nebulous, but to me I enjoy these lines because it seems to have a theme of tradition versus progression and change over time and how we are all fallible. Think about it for a second but not too long because you are tossed right back into the addictive chorus as the song concludes. And that is what makes M.I.A. an extremely fun listen.
3) "Bright Lights, Bigger City"
by Cee Lo Green
The Lady Killer
Sometimes when I listen to Cee Lo Green, I wonder if his voice was cryogenically frozen for decades only to be broken out in the present day in order to save the world. Ya know, kinda like Austin Powers but for music instead of espionage? Somethin' like that.
Either way, when I first heard this song I was captivated because it is the ultimate "it's Friday and I just got out of work!!!" song. There is nothing like being in a good mood and having a song to perfectly capture it. This song accomplishes it to the fullest degree. Cee Lo agrees. Here is what he said to MTV News:
This song, I think, just has a broader appeal, because it's just not talking about me, it's talking about us. It's a song about the nightlife and just kinda being out and living for the weekend. It's kinda got that 'working-class hero' quality too; I reference, you know, songs like Johnny Kemp's "Just Got Paid". So it's a story that's been told before, and it's so true to life. ... We all work pretty hard throughout the week, and Friday and Saturday, you know, will always be special, so this is just a song to commemorate that.
It starts off with some synths and then before you know it, strings, bass, and drums all kick in, giving off a "Billie Jean" meets the Bee Gees vibe. Turn the clocks back about thirty years and enjoy the next three minutes.
He starts off by singing, "I've been living for the weekend / But no, not anymore / Cause here comes that familiar feeling / That Friday's famous for." If you haven't enjoyed the song up until this point, I don't know what to tell you. Maybe you just don't like Friday. Cee Lo has the perfect remedy, "Now Friday is cool / But there's something about Saturday night / You can't say what you won't do / Cause you know you just might."
While the rest of the album's roots lie in the 60s and early 70s, "Bright Lights, Bigger City" takes on the challenge of reviving the effervescent Studio 54 days of the late 70s and early 80s. It passes with flying colors.
2) "Shutterbugg (feat. Cutty)"
by Big Boi
Sir Lucious Left Foot: The Son of Chico Dusty
As Big Boi himself aptly puts it on another track "General Patton," he is back "As one half of the OutKast return like ghost of Christmas past." It has been a while since we've heard substantial material from either member of one of hip hop's greatest acts of all time -- OutKast. On this breakout album, "Shutterbugg" places the listener in the midst of a club where I'd certainly like to be.
Strapped by a memorable hook, a catchy guitar bridge, and excellent change of pace, this song is a delight from start to finish. Here is the hook:
Now party people in the club it's time to cut a rug
And throw the deuce up in the sky just for the shutterbugs
I'm double-fistin' and if you're empty you can grab a cup
Boy stop, I'm just playing, let me dap you up
Baby baby, you're in my system
Baby baby, tell me you're listening
The bridge then gives a shout out to the guys and girls in the club:
Now this goes out to all my playas in the back
Sippin' 'yac, bendin' 'round corners in the 'lac
Cut a rug, playa, now cut a rug
And throw yo' deuces in the sky for the shutterbug
And this goes out to all my ladies in the front
What you want? You make me wanna breed, girl freeze
Cut a rug, lady, now cut a rug
And throw yo' deuces in the sky for the shutterbug
This is an absolute softball for a DJ to play in a bar or club, and yet I did not hear it once at all the entire year. Maybe I don't go out as much these days, or maybe I don't live in a legitimate city that plays new or good music out at bars and clubs (Ahem: Reason #13443 to move to New York).
Either way, any song that can repopularize the term "cut a rug" gets my stamp of approval.
1) POWER
by Kanye West
My Beautiful Dark Twisted Fantasy
The stylization of the title, with it being in all caps, pretty much sums up the entire song best. Kanye West is damn good, and he damn well knows it.
The combination of two samples, one being the heavy guitar of "21st Century Schizoid Man" by King Crimson and the other the backing harmonies of "Afromerica" by funk band Continent Number 6, join forces on a song that packs a bigger punch than any Kanye West single has seen before. That in itself is incredibly bold and challenging, but it's an easy task for Mr. West. It might seem like a daring statement, but it is not -- this is his best single to date. The lyrics that accompany the beat are equally impressive. I really enjoy how Kanye expresses his disdain for those critical of him and how he acknowledges and embraces his vanity. There are two parts of the strong that incorporate this theme, and it initially appears in the second verse:
Now I embody every characteristic of the egotistic
He know, he so, fuckin gifted
I just needed time alone, with my own thoughts
Got treasures in my mind, but couldnt open up my own vault
My childlike creativity, purity and honesty
Is honestly being prodded by these grown thoughts
Reality is catchin up with me
Takin my inner child, I'm fighting for custody
With these responsibilities that they entrusted me
As I look down at my diamond encrusted piece
Then in the breakdown of the song, it gets to a point of narcissistic rage while a delicate piano eventually comes to the forefront:
Lost in translation with a whole fuckin nation
They say I was the abomination of Obama's nation
Well, that's a pretty bad way to start the conversation
At the end of day, goddammit, I'm killin this shit
I know damn well yall feelin this shit
I don't need yo pussy, bitch, I'm on my own dick
I ain't gotta power trip, who you goin home with?
While some hip hop tracks have a predictable verse, hook, rinse, wash, repeat method to it, this is far from it (As I will expound later, it's a noticeable trend on this unique album). At this moment, however, Dwele provides the final haunting vocals as the song shifts gears. Dwele was excellent on Graduation's "Flashing Lights" and he fits perfectly in "POWER" as well. Overall, this is a song that immediately grabs your attention but never lets go over time. Kind of like Kanye's iron fist over the rap game.
DJ Tanner's top music from 2010 (Part I of IV: Kickin' Things Off)
What up? It's DJ Tanner on the ones and twos here to give you the top music from the past year. All in all, it was a pretty great year for music and certainly an upgrade from 2009. Let's get down to business...
What this music review will contain:
- Honorable Mentions for songs of the year
- The top 4 club/bar songs of the year
- The top 11 songs of the year, regardless of genre
- Previous songs of the year (since 2004)
- Album of the year
Disclaimer: Ultimately, music is subjective and I do not profess to be an expert; these are merely my observations. I will, however, do my best to illustrate why these songs deserve such praise. Furthermore, music is a form of art and as such there will be no censoring of lyrics or themes discussed. You've been warned!
Here is a taste to start up some of the best music from the past year....
Honorable Mentions (in no particular order):
"Never Give You Up" - by The Black Keys - off of Brothers
"Shine Blockas (feat. Gucci Mane)" - Big Boi - Sir Lucious Left Foot: The Son of Chico Dusty
"Afraid Of Everyone" - The National - High Violet
"Sweetest Kill" - Broken Social Scene - Forgiveness Rock Record
"Siberian Breaks" - MGMT - Congratulations
What this music review will contain:
- Honorable Mentions for songs of the year
- The top 4 club/bar songs of the year
- The top 11 songs of the year, regardless of genre
- Previous songs of the year (since 2004)
- Album of the year
Disclaimer: Ultimately, music is subjective and I do not profess to be an expert; these are merely my observations. I will, however, do my best to illustrate why these songs deserve such praise. Furthermore, music is a form of art and as such there will be no censoring of lyrics or themes discussed. You've been warned!
Here is a taste to start up some of the best music from the past year....
Honorable Mentions (in no particular order):
"Never Give You Up" - by The Black Keys - off of Brothers
"Shine Blockas (feat. Gucci Mane)" - Big Boi - Sir Lucious Left Foot: The Son of Chico Dusty
"Afraid Of Everyone" - The National - High Violet
"Sweetest Kill" - Broken Social Scene - Forgiveness Rock Record
"Siberian Breaks" - MGMT - Congratulations
Tuesday, March 15, 2011
Monday, February 28, 2011
New York Jets Pre-Combine Mock Offseason I
With the NFL Combine in full swing and the end of the league year coming at 11:59PM EST Thursday night, now is time for the first New York Jets mock offseason. In it will include players let go and players that will be brought in while being cautious of cap space. Since the salary cap is yet to be determined, I have done my best to balance the money saved and money spent budget.
Expiring Contracts (Italics indicates player not projected to be retained):
DE Shaun Ellis - $3.35MM cap value last season
P Steve Weatherford
S Brodney Pool
FB Tony Richardson - $912,280 cap value last season
WR Braylon Edwards
OT Wayne Hunter
DE Trevor Pryce - $ 387,059 cap value last season
CB Antonio Cromartie - $1.695MM cap value last season
LB Lance Laury - $687,280 cap value last season
WR Santonio Holmes
S Eric Smith - $1,183,280 cap value last season
WR/KR Brad Smith - $1,766,280 cap value last season
CB Drew Coleman
QB Kellen Clemens - $700,000 cap value last season
P Steve Weatherford
S Brodney Pool
FB Tony Richardson - $912,280 cap value last season
WR Braylon Edwards
OT Wayne Hunter
DE Trevor Pryce - $ 387,059 cap value last season
CB Antonio Cromartie - $1.695MM cap value last season
LB Lance Laury - $687,280 cap value last season
WR Santonio Holmes
S Eric Smith - $1,183,280 cap value last season
WR/KR Brad Smith - $1,766,280 cap value last season
CB Drew Coleman
QB Kellen Clemens - $700,000 cap value last season
K Nick Folk
S James Ihedigbo
C/G Rob Turner
$10,681,179 in freed up money
The most interesting name here is Antonio Cromartie. The Jets paid a heavy price for Cromartie – a 3rd rounder that escalated to a 2nd round pick – and will ultimately see him walk. This one chalks up as one of Tannenbaum’s calculated risks that paid off in the short term but definitely not in the long. Though he was adequate and an upgrade at the #2 CB position from the 2009 season, the reality is not all of the big names will be able to be kept this offseason. When it comes down to it, a guy who relies so heavily on athleticism and little on experience and technique might not be one you want to sign to a deal that would keep him until his thirties, especially when you have a 2010 first rounder in Kyle Wilson that you want to see was worth the investment or not.
Brad Smith is going to be a guy that will get overpaid this offseason because one team will think they can make him a larger part of the offense and will thus price themselves out of the Jets range. That team will be disappointed when they find out that Smith is an excellent role player but not a more central focus. Furthermore, Special Teams Coach Mike Westhoff has groomed a slew of potent kick returners in his eleven seasons, including guys like Craig Yeast, Chad Morton, Justin Miller, and Leon Washington.
Shaun Ellis was one of the first to clean his locker out after the loss to Pittsburgh , and I don’t think the Jets longest tenured man will be brought back to eek out one more year. I could easily see him in another uniform on a desperate or newly formed 3-4 defense is in need of a veteran five technique end.
Safety Eric Smith has value on special teams and occasionally makes the big hit, but he makes far too many mistakes in space. James Ihedigbo possesses similar skills and could be used as a cheaper alternative to Smith... Laury can have his role replaced by ILB Josh Mauga, whose athleticism will at least help on specials... Based on his feelings during Hard Knocks, Kellen Clemens wants one more training camp battle. He won’t get that here.
Predicted Cuts:
DE Vernon Gholston -$6,273,333 cap value including $2.565MM Roster Bonus - $5,806,667 dead money, $466,666 cap savings
OT Damien Woody - $4.26MM cap value including $400,000 Workout Bonus - $1.02MM dead money, $3.24MM cap savings [UPDATE 2/28: CUT]
OLB Bryan Thomas - $3.7MM cap value including $500,000 Bonus - $0 dead money, $3.7MM cap savings
TE Ben Hartsock - $1.65MM cap value including $50,000 Bonus - $0 dead money, $1.65MM cap savings
QB Eric Ainge - $603,530 cap value including $7,280 Bonus - $41,250 dead money, $562,280 cap savings
OLB Jason Taylor - $2.275MM cap value - $0 dead money, $2.275MM cap savings
$11,893,946 in freed up money
Vernon Gholston has been a monumental bust and the biggest blemish on GM Mike Tannenbaum’s nearly squeaky clean résumé. The front office will gladly eat the nearly $6MM in dead money to show him the door... Damien Woody served as an excellent RT for the past three seasons, but an Achilles tear in the Wild Card Round put that to a screeching halt. It’s the worst injury to endure, and players rarely return to their normal levels. It’s even possible the 33 year old will retire. Either way, the Jets will likely move on and have Wayne Hunter serve as the starter with Vladimir Ducasse competing… Bryan Thomas is a JAG at this point of his career and the combination of cap savings and zero dead money sounds like an appealing cap-saving cut… Ben Hartsock commands zero respect as a receiving threat and can be cheaply replaced… Ainge showed little long term promise, and that was even before he went to rehab. Nuff said… Jason Taylor has a few playoff victories to add to his career accomplishments, but I’m sure he’d say this year left a sour taste in his mouth. He’ll be gone, but my respect level for him is infinitely higher than it used to be.
Retirements:
OLB Jason Taylor
DE Trevor Pryce
FB Tony Richardson
Restructures:
QB Mark Sanchez – 2011 $17,753,125 cap value including $500,000 Bonus - $16,509,375 dead money if cut, $1,243,750 cap savings if cut
New 2011 cap value: $12MM
NT Kris Jenkins – 2011 $6.4MM cap value including $1MM Roster Bonus - $1.8MM dead money if cut, $4.6MM cap savings if cut
New 2011 cap value: $2.2MM
$10,123,125 in freed up money
Now that the bust label is pretty much shed from Sanchez, now is a good time to lock him up for the considerable future. Even more so, his $17+ million cap figure for 2011 is exorbitant. The best thing for both sides is to lower the 2011 figure while also adding more years and total guaranteed money to his contract. Adding say three more years to his contract keeps him under Jets rights through the 2016 season. A $12MM figure for 2011 seems reasonable.
Kris Jenkins is an interesting case. When healthy, he is a dominating force on the inside and maybe the only defensive lineman on the Jets roster that legitimately commands double teams. The problem though is health. If this were any other guy, I could see him easily being cut. Based on early indications, Jenkins wants to make another go at it this year instead of hanging up the cleats. If the Jets approach this as “expect nothing, be happy with anything” with regard to his health and not rely on him as a key cog in the 2011 lineup, then they can possibly work out an incentive based deal where Jenkins takes a significant pay cut unless he stays healthy.
Total Players Let Go: 14
Total 2011Cap Space Freed: $32,728,250
In-house Free Agent Signings with 2011 Cap Figures:
WR Santonio Holmes - $7MM
ILB David Harris - $6MM
WR Braylon Edwards - $6MM
OT Wayne Hunter - $3.1MM
C/G Rob Turner - $750,000
CB Drew Coleman - $1MM
S James Ihedigbo - $1MM
P Steve Weatherford - $750,000
K Nick Folk - $750,000
$28,150,000 to retain players (10)
By all indications, Santonio Holmes appears to be priority number one, even if it comes at the cost of Braylon Edwards. I think they keep both in order to surround the young QB with all of the weapons he needs. Expect Holmes’s contract to have provisions in place in case he does get into trouble again so that the team’s investment is protected.
David Harris was recently franchised by the team, setting him up to earn roughly $10MM this season. The tag was used more as a precaution in order to guarantee his rights for another season in hopes of signing an extension. A member of the team’s “Core Four,” look for the front office to ink Harris for years to come like his fellow teammates D’Brickashaw Ferguson, Nick Mangold, and Darrelle Revis. Not only will it ensure his place in a Jets uniform for a while, but it will also significantly reduce his cap hit in 2011. Look for a smaller 2011 cap hit with a big bonus in 2012, however, forcing the front office to restructure with Bart Scott. Few teams can or should pay to inside linebackers a nearly combined $16MM annually.
According to some sources close to the Jets, the team attempted to extend Wayne Hunter at a lower cost before the season and he and his agent balked at the offer. Instead, they opted to gamble the 2010 season in an attempt to increase his value. A swing tackle for the past few years, Hunter earned his chance to start with Damien Woody’s two separate injuries late in the year. While he was far from All-Pro, he certainly showed his worth as a short-term starter at RT. According to the same source, the Jets approached Hunter’s agent this past weekend but have yet to break ground on negotiations. Though four other teams have expressed interest if he hits the open market, he has a stated a desire to remain with the team that groomed him. Look for a 2-3 year deal with a significant bump from his 2010 pay ($1.233MM).
Brodney Pool showed strides of improvement down the stretch and including the playoffs, exhibiting great technique in run support along with a bit of playmaking ability. This is one of those miserly positions for the front office, and I don’t see them paying a premium on just an average starter. If he demands too much, look for a cheaper alternative… Rob Turner is a fiery guy who will be needed as insurance in case of an injury to Mangold, Matt Slauson, or Brandon Moore… At times, Drew Coleman can be head-scratchingly bad in coverage; other times, he comes up with a big sack, forced fumble, or interception. For CB depth, you can really do worse. He stays if he doesn’t want a significant raise from 2010… Ihedigbo, or “Dig” as his teammates call him, can fill in under the Eric Smith role for the team as a hybrid safety/linebacker in passing situations as well as on special teams. Both are big hitters with limited coverage skills, but Dig will be cheaper and is a better blitzer.
Despite a head-scratching decision to fake punt in a low scoring game against the eventual Super Bowl Champs, Steve Weatherford was a pretty effective regular season punter, nearly setting an NFL record for most punts inside the 20; unfortunately, he lost his charm in the playoffs and was nothing short of horrendous. For a punter, 15 solid games outweighs 4 poor ones so I think he’ll be brought back… Nick Folk was far from a good kicker last year, but at the same time he didn’t cost the team any games. His kickoffs did get noticeably worse throughout the season though. For now, he’ll be back.
Other Free Agent Pickups:
OLB Antwan Barnes - $1.2MM
Barnes was acquired mid-season by the Chargers from the Eagles. As a part-time player, he notched four sacks in eleven games with San Diego . He’d likely compete with Jamaal Westerman and a rookie for the starting OLB opposite Calvin Pace.
$29,350,000 total spent
$32,728,250 total saved
$3, 378,250 available to spend on rookies
With at least three more roster spots available, here is the time for rookies. Approximately $5MM will be needed to sign all rookies. Since this offseason mock will not include specific rookies, it should be noted that the Jets primary concern in the draft is help in the front seven, most glaringly at DE and OLB.
There we go. As the offseason progresses, I will periodically update this. For now, keep your fingers crossed that this lockout ends ASAP.
Sunday, February 13, 2011
Updated Mark Sanchez Career Playoff Numbers
Mark Sanchez
2009: 2-1 record, lost in AFC Championship Game; 4 TD, 2 INT; 60.3% completions; 180 ypg; 7.9 ypa; 92.7 QB rating
2010: 2-1 record, lost in AFC Championship Game; 5 TD, 1 INT; 60.7% completions; 205 ypg; 6.9 ypa; 95.5 QB rating
Total: 6 games, 4-2 record; 9 TD, 3 INT; 60.5% completions; 192.5 ypg; 7.4 ypa; 94.3 QB rating
As for some of the "negative" statistics, in those six games he has been sacked only four times. He has also lost one fumble. That being said, perhaps the most amazing statistic is his incredibly low rate of interceptions, with only 1.9% of his attempts going for picks. Let's see how that, as well as the rest of Mark's numbers, stack up with some of the all-time bests in the playoffs.
Thanks to 18to88.com, here are the 21 highest rated quarterbacks in NFL Playoff History (min: 6 games played or 150 attempts):
Rank Rating Wins Losses Comp Att TD INT Yards YPA
1 Aaron Rodgers 112.6 4 1 118 174 13 3 1517 8.7
2 Bart Starr 104.8 9 1 130 213 15 3 1753 8.2
3 Kurt Warner 102.3 9 4 307 462 31 14 3952 8.6
4 Drew Brees 102.0 4 3 189 285 15 2 2052 7.2
5 Joe Montana 95.6 16 7 460 734 45 21 5772 7.9
6 Mark Sanchez 94.3 4 2 95 157 9 3 1155 7.4
7 Ken Anderson 93.5 2 4 110 166 9 6 1321 8.0
8 Joe Theismann 91.4 6 2 128 211 11 7 1782 8.4
9 Peyton Manning 88.4 9 10 435 692 28 19 5164 7.5
10 Troy Aikman 88.3 11 5 320 502 23 17 3849 7.7
11 Brett Favre 86.3 13 11 481 791 44 30 5855 7.4
12 Steve Young 85.8 12 8 292 471 20 13 3326 7.1
13 Tom Brady 85.7 14 5 424 682 30 16 4407 6.5
14 Warren Moon 84.9 3 7 259 403 17 14 2870 7.1
15 Rich Gannon 84.6 4 5 154 240 11 9 1691 7.0
16 Ben Roethlisberger 84.5 10 3 226 369 19 16 2861 7.8
17 Matt Hasselbeck 84.4 5 6 237 406 18 9 2741 6.8
18 Ken Stabler 84.2 7 6 203 351 19 13 2641 7.5
19 Bernie Kosar 83.5 4 5 152 270 16 10 1953 7.2
20 Jake Delhomme 83.3 5 3 130 226 12 10 1847 8.2
21 Terry Bradshaw 83.0 14 5 261 456 30 26 3833 8.4
Not too shabby for a guy with two years experience. Now of course he hasn't been asked to shoulder the load as much as guys like Montana, Manning, Brees, or Young, but Mark has been pretty effective in what he's been asked to do and has shown considerable improvement over his regular season numbers.
Going back to the percentage of attempts intercepted, Sanchez's paltry 1.9% of attempts intercepted would place him fourth on this list, only behind Rodgers, Starr, and Brees. This is astonishing improvement from his rookie regular season numbers, where a whopping 5.5% of his attempts were intercepted. While he did make remarkable improvement in that department in his second regular season (only 2.6% where picked off), his tremendous post-season ball security and decision-making is almost unparalleled.
2009: 2-1 record, lost in AFC Championship Game; 4 TD, 2 INT; 60.3% completions; 180 ypg; 7.9 ypa; 92.7 QB rating
2010: 2-1 record, lost in AFC Championship Game; 5 TD, 1 INT; 60.7% completions; 205 ypg; 6.9 ypa; 95.5 QB rating
Total: 6 games, 4-2 record; 9 TD, 3 INT; 60.5% completions; 192.5 ypg; 7.4 ypa; 94.3 QB rating
As for some of the "negative" statistics, in those six games he has been sacked only four times. He has also lost one fumble. That being said, perhaps the most amazing statistic is his incredibly low rate of interceptions, with only 1.9% of his attempts going for picks. Let's see how that, as well as the rest of Mark's numbers, stack up with some of the all-time bests in the playoffs.
Thanks to 18to88.com, here are the 21 highest rated quarterbacks in NFL Playoff History (min: 6 games played or 150 attempts):
Rank Rating Wins Losses Comp Att TD INT Yards YPA
1 Aaron Rodgers 112.6 4 1 118 174 13 3 1517 8.7
2 Bart Starr 104.8 9 1 130 213 15 3 1753 8.2
3 Kurt Warner 102.3 9 4 307 462 31 14 3952 8.6
4 Drew Brees 102.0 4 3 189 285 15 2 2052 7.2
5 Joe Montana 95.6 16 7 460 734 45 21 5772 7.9
6 Mark Sanchez 94.3 4 2 95 157 9 3 1155 7.4
7 Ken Anderson 93.5 2 4 110 166 9 6 1321 8.0
8 Joe Theismann 91.4 6 2 128 211 11 7 1782 8.4
9 Peyton Manning 88.4 9 10 435 692 28 19 5164 7.5
10 Troy Aikman 88.3 11 5 320 502 23 17 3849 7.7
11 Brett Favre 86.3 13 11 481 791 44 30 5855 7.4
12 Steve Young 85.8 12 8 292 471 20 13 3326 7.1
13 Tom Brady 85.7 14 5 424 682 30 16 4407 6.5
14 Warren Moon 84.9 3 7 259 403 17 14 2870 7.1
15 Rich Gannon 84.6 4 5 154 240 11 9 1691 7.0
16 Ben Roethlisberger 84.5 10 3 226 369 19 16 2861 7.8
17 Matt Hasselbeck 84.4 5 6 237 406 18 9 2741 6.8
18 Ken Stabler 84.2 7 6 203 351 19 13 2641 7.5
19 Bernie Kosar 83.5 4 5 152 270 16 10 1953 7.2
20 Jake Delhomme 83.3 5 3 130 226 12 10 1847 8.2
21 Terry Bradshaw 83.0 14 5 261 456 30 26 3833 8.4
Not too shabby for a guy with two years experience. Now of course he hasn't been asked to shoulder the load as much as guys like Montana, Manning, Brees, or Young, but Mark has been pretty effective in what he's been asked to do and has shown considerable improvement over his regular season numbers.
Going back to the percentage of attempts intercepted, Sanchez's paltry 1.9% of attempts intercepted would place him fourth on this list, only behind Rodgers, Starr, and Brees. This is astonishing improvement from his rookie regular season numbers, where a whopping 5.5% of his attempts were intercepted. While he did make remarkable improvement in that department in his second regular season (only 2.6% where picked off), his tremendous post-season ball security and decision-making is almost unparalleled.
Rather than simply protecting the ball, Sanchez has risen to the occasion when asked to make a play. 5.7% of his playoff passes have resulted in a touchdown, placing him 7th on this list and ahead of names like Brady, Aikman, and Roethlisberger.
What does this all mean for Sanchez? The regular season Mark Sanchez is still a work in progress, though it is safe to say that he has shaken off any bust labels placed on him. A lot remains to be seen whether he will be an above-average quarterback or an elite level quarterback. Year three in the Jets system will go a long way in determining his ceiling. Accuracy will be of paramount focus for Sanchez since that is his major weakness at this point, and it is what seemed to have triggered his playoff successes thus far. He probably will not be a guy that will finish top 5 in yards or TDs most years, but he has the makings of a guy you want behind center when the season is on the line.
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